Saint Joseph's Hawks vs Richmond Spiders Pick & Prediction for Sunday January 11 2026
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The Saint Joseph's Hawks head to Richmond, Virginia to take on the Richmond Spiders in an Atlantic 10 conference matchup at the Robins Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET, with coverage on USA Network. This game features a Saint Joseph’s team trying to climb back into the A-10 race against a Richmond squad that has been strong at home and is favored in this spot. For more betting insights, check out free college basketball picks.
Saint Joseph's Hawks Preview: Competitive but Inconsistent on the Road
Saint Joseph’s enters this game with a 9-7 overall record and a 1-2 mark in A-10 play, coming off an overtime win against Duquesne (97–90). While that victory showed resilience, the Hawks have struggled to find consistency, especially away from home and against conference opponents.
From a statistical standpoint, Saint Joseph’s averages 75.4 points per game while allowing 73.7 points per game. They shoot 42% from the field and rely heavily on ball movement, averaging 15.1 assists per game. Rebounding has been a relative strength, as they pull down 39.8 rebounds per contest, which helps them stay competitive even when shots aren’t falling.
Offensively, the Hawks are led by Jaiden Glover-Toscano, who averages 15.9 points per game. Derek Simpson runs the offence with 4.1 assists per game, while Dasear Haskins contributes 6.0 rebounds per game, providing interior support. Saint Joseph’s will need a strong all-around effort to stay close in a difficult road environment.
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Richmond Spiders Preview: Efficient Offense and Home-Court Control
Richmond comes into this matchup at 12-4 overall and 2-1 in A-10 play, riding back-to-back road wins over St. Bonaventure (89–80) and Fordham (83–75). The Spiders have been particularly effective offensively and have played with confidence when controlling tempo.
The Spiders average 83.4 points per game while allowing 73.2 points per game, giving them a clear scoring edge in this matchup. Richmond shoots 47% from the field and moves the ball well, averaging 15.9 assists per game. Defensively, they generate 7.8 steals per game, which helps create transition opportunities.
Richmond’s scoring attack is balanced, led by AJ Lopez, who averages 12.8 points per game, while Mike Walz anchors the paint with 6.8 rebounds per game. Will Johnston facilitates the offence with 2.5 assists per game, and Richmond’s depth allows them to maintain pressure throughout the game.
Matchup Factors
- Richmond holds a clear scoring advantage (83.4 PPG vs 75.4 PPG)
- Saint Joseph’s has a rebounding edge, but Richmond is more efficient shooting the ball
- Richmond’s home-court advantage and steal rate could disrupt Saint Joseph’s offence
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs Richmond Spiders Prediction
ATS Pick: Richmond -8.5 I’m backing Richmond to cover the spread in this matchup. The Spiders are significantly more efficient offensively and have been playing their best basketball recently, while Saint Joseph’s has struggled for consistency against A-10 competition. Richmond’s ability to score in multiple ways and generate turnovers should allow them to build separation, particularly in the second half.
Total Pick: Under 152.5 I lean to the under as well. While Richmond can score, Saint Joseph’s prefers a more controlled pace and has been involved in several lower-scoring conference games. If the Spiders get a lead, this game is likely to slow down, keeping the total below the number.
Final Score Prediction
Richmond Spiders 78, Saint Joseph's Hawks 67
Richmond protects home court, covers the spread, and continues its strong A-10 conference run.
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