Saint Louis Billikens vs Dayton Flyers Picks and Predictions for Tuesday February 24 2026
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Saint Louis travels to Dayton to take on the Flyers at UD Arena (Dayton, OH) on Tuesday at 7:00 PM, with the game airing on ESPN+. Saint Louis is listed as a 5.5-point favorite, and the total is set at 155.5, while at the time of this writing the odds were not released for the moneyline. For more insight on tonight’s slate, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks.
Saint Louis Bringing Elite Production into Dayton
Saint Louis enters this matchup at 25-2 overall with a 13-1 mark in A-10 play. A road record was not provided in the information available, but the Billikens have been one of the most productive teams in the country. In their last five games, they as recently won over VCU 88-75, lost to Rhode Island 81-76, won over LUC 86-59, won over LAS 82-58, and won over DAV 91-82.
Offensively, Saint Louis is averaging a massive 90.1 points per game while allowing just 68.1. They are shooting 52% from the field, which is an elite number, and they are pulling down 41.9 rebounds per game. On top of that, the Billikens average 19.0 assists per contest, reflecting a fluid offense that consistently generates quality looks.
The most impressive aspect of Saint Louis is efficiency and balance. Scoring over 90 per game while holding opponents under 70 creates one of the best scoring differentials in the conference. They also average 7.6 steals per game, allowing them to turn defense into easy offense. When they dictate pace and share the ball at this level, they are extremely difficult to contain.
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Dayton Looking to Defend Home Court
Dayton comes into this game at 18-9 overall with a 9-5 record in A-10 play. A home record was not included in the information provided, but the Flyers have been competitive in conference action. Over their last five games, they as recently won over Duquesne 78-66, won over GMU 82-67, won over DAV 70-59, lost to VCU 99-73, and won over SBU 72-70.
The Flyers are averaging 76.1 points per game while allowing 71.0. They are shooting 45% from the field and grabbing 33.0 rebounds per contest, with 14.3 assists per game. Dayton has been solid offensively, but not nearly at the level of Saint Louis.
One area where Dayton can compete is defensive activity. They average 8.9 steals per game and 4.2 blocks per contest, suggesting they can generate disruption. However, allowing 99 points to VCU in their recent stretch shows that when they face a high-powered offense, defensive breakdowns can surface quickly. Against a team averaging over 90 per game, those lapses are magnified.
Saint Louis vs Dayton Pick
Saint Louis vs Dayton spread pick
- Pick: Saint Louis -5.5
Saint Louis has been one of the most efficient offenses in the country, averaging 90.1 points per game on 52% shooting. Dayton has played well, but the gap in offensive production is significant. If the Billikens maintain their ball movement (19.0 assists per game) and rebounding edge, they should be able to create separation. With a strong scoring differential and consistent recent form, laying the points with Saint Louis is the stronger play.
Saint Louis vs Dayton total pick
- Pick: Over 155.5
I’m leaning over because Saint Louis consistently pushes games into the high 80s or low 90s, and Dayton has shown it can score in the mid-to-high 70s. Even with Dayton’s defensive playmaking, the Billikens’ 52% shooting suggests they will find efficient looks. If this game follows both teams’ season averages, it has a strong path to landing in the 160s.
Final Score Prediction: Saint Louis 88, Dayton 78
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