San Diego State at Oregon — Picks & Prediction for Tuesday, November 25, 2025

By: Garrett Beaverson Published 11/25/2025, 12:50 AM ET
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The San Diego State Aztecs travel north to take on the Oregon Ducks on Tuesday, November 25, 2025. Get in on the action with our free college basketball picks.

San Diego State Aztecs Analysis

San Diego State enters the game with a modest but promising start to the season. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on San Diego State.

Key Team Metrics & Recent Notes

  • Record so far: 2–1.

  • Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 15.5 PPG.

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  • Leading rebounder: Miles Heide, with about 6.3 RPG per ESPN.

  • Assist leader: Miles Byrd, averaging 4.0 APG.

Strengths:

  • Balanced offense + experience: With Dixon-Waters and Byrd, SDSU can generate scoring from both the perimeter and drives.

  • Mid-major toughness: Known for physical and disciplined play, they can compete in half-court sets and defend aggressively.

  • Effort and hustle: Given their early-season metrics and roster composition, they’re likely to battle for every possession — especially on the road.

Weaknesses:

  • Scoring ceiling risk: Beyond their top few, they may lack consistent scoring options if their main guys struggle.

  • Rebounding margin: Their rebounding isn’t dominant, which could be exploited by bigger lineups.

  • Turnover risk: In tight, high-pressure games, careless turnovers could be costly.

Oregon Ducks Analysis

Oregon comes in as one of the stronger teams in this early-season matchup, with established talent and some key contributors returning. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Oregon with the Kickr promo code.

Key Team Metrics & Recent Notes

  • The Ducks are 4–0 to date.

  • Leading scorer and rebounder: Nate Bittle, averaging 18.8 PPG and 9.8 RPG.

  • Primary facilitator: Jackson Shelstad, distributing at 5.0 APG.

  • Oregon also adds new frontcourt depth: they recently added international forward Efe Vatan, giving them more size and versatility.

Strengths:

  • Size and inside dominance: With Bittle and Vatan, Oregon has a big, physical front line that can control the paint.

  • Balanced scoring + playmaking: Shelstad’s playmaking paired with Bittle’s scoring gives them offensive flexibility.

  • Home-court advantage + experience: Playing in Eugene helps, and Oregon’s roster has enough experience to handle tough non-conference tests.

Weaknesses:

  • Turnover potential: More size can sometimes slow the ball down; if they’re careless, SDSU could turn mistakes into fast-break points.

  • Perimeter defense: If SDSU’s guards attack, Oregon may have some trouble closing out or defending on the perimeter.

  • Pressure to deliver: As the favored team, Oregon needs to avoid looking past San Diego State and play with focus.

Standout Players & Key Matchups

  • San Diego State:

    • Reese Dixon-Waters — the go-to scorer, likely to take on key offensive roles.

    • Miles Byrd — playmaker and scorer, especially in half-court sets.

  • Oregon:

    • Nate Bittle — inside force; his scoring and rebounding will be central.

    • Jackson Shelstad — distributing, creating, and managing pace.

    • Efe Vatan — his size and versatility could be a mismatch for SDSU defenders.

Oregon vs San Diego State Prediction Reasoning

San Diego State is a tough opponent for anyone, bringing grit, veteran guard play, and balanced scoring. However, Oregon’s size, inside presence, and depth give them advantages in key areas — especially rebounding and second-chance points. Given the matchups, a strong Oregon frontcourt plus disciplined guard play should help them control this game. Make sure when you place your bet on San Diego State vs Oregon you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Final Score Projection: Oregon 80, San Diego State 69

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Best Picks

  • Oregon ATS up to -11
  • Under down to 149.5 total points
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