San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28, 2026
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San Diego State travels to Albuquerque for a Mountain West matchup at The Pit on Saturday afternoon. The Aztecs are 19-8 overall and 13-4 in conference play, tied for 1st in the Mountain West after an 89-72 win over Utah State in their last outing. New Mexico is 21-7 overall and 12-5 in conference play, sitting 3rd in the Mountain West following a 67-60 road loss to Nevada. Cash in using ourfree college basketball picks.
Game Information
- Date: Saturday, February 28
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Location: The Pit, Albuquerque, NM
- TV: CBS
San Diego State Aztecs Preview
San Diego State is scoring an average of 79.3 points per game while shooting 47.6% from the field, and the Aztecs hit 35.8% from three-point range. Reese Dixon-Waters leads the Aztecs, averaging 12.9 points per contest, while Miles Byrd adds 10.7 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game to make a big impact at both ends. BJ Davis contributes 10.3 points per contest, and Miles Heide controls the glass with 4.7 rebounds per game. The Aztecs average 35.7 rebounds and 15.4 assists per contest. Defensively, San Diego State allows just 70.1 points per game and generates 8.1 steals, creating transition chances off turnovers.
Injury Report: San Diego reports no injuries.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 79.3
- Points Allowed: 70.1
- Rebounds: 35.7
- Assists: 15.4
- Steals: 8.1
- Blocks: 4.5
- Turnovers: 12.3
New Mexico Lobos Preview
New Mexico is averaging 80.6 points per game while shooting 46.2% from the floor and an above average 36.3% from beyond the arc. Jake Hall leads the Lobos with an average of 16.0 points per contest and shoots 44.8% from three-point range. Tomislav Buljan adds 11.7 points and a team-high 9.8 rebounds per game to anchor the paint, while Deyton Albury contributes 11.7 points and 3.2 assists per contest in the backcourt. The Lobos average 36.2 rebounds and 14.7 assists per game. On defense, New Mexico allows 69.4 points per contest and averages 7.8 steals per game, matching San Diego State’s defensive intensity.
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Injury Report: Chris Howel, Milos Vicentic, Kevin Patton, Sir Marius Jones, and Kallai Patton are out.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 80.6
- Points Allowed: 69.4
- Rebounds: 36.2
- Assists: 14.7
- Steals: 7.8
- Blocks: 3.0
- Turnovers: 10.9
San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction
Both teams rank near the top of the Mountain West standings and allow fewer than 71 points per game, setting up a competitive matchup at The Pit. New Mexico holds a slight scoring edge at 80.6 points per contest and plays well at home, while San Diego State relies on defensive pressure and balanced scoring. With Hall stretching the floor and Buljan controlling the boards, the Lobos have the advantage on their home court. Final Score Prediction: New Mexico Lobos win and cover ATS, 76-72.
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