San Francisco Dons vs Oregon State Beavers Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 8 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/08/2026, 04:00 AM ET
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The San Francisco Dons face the Oregon State Beavers in the West Coast Conference Tournament Quarterfinal on Sunday, March 8, 2026 at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 PM and the game will be broadcast on ESPN2. Oregon State enters the matchup after earning a bye into the quarterfinal round, while San Francisco advanced through the previous round to reach this stage of the tournament. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for additional expert analysis and betting insights.

Dons Build Momentum After Tournament Win

San Francisco enters the quarterfinal with a 17-15 overall record and an 8-10 mark in West Coast Conference play. The Dons advanced to this round after defeating Portland 82-65 in the third round of the WCC Tournament. Over their last five games, San Francisco has recently won over Portland, Pacific, and San Diego while recently losing to Santa Clara and Gonzaga.

On the season, the Dons average 74.4 points per game while allowing 73.0 points per contest. They shoot 44% from the field and average 36.0 rebounds along with 13.8 assists per game. Defensively, the team records 3.1 blocks and 5.1 steals per game, showing solid balance on both ends of the floor throughout the season.

In their tournament victory over Portland, San Francisco leaned heavily on its frontcourt production. David Fuchs led the offense with 23 points on 8-of-13 shooting while also dominating the boards with 16 rebounds, including six offensive boards. That inside presence was critical as the Dons controlled the rebounding battle and limited turnovers to just seven in the win. With the short turnaround between games, San Francisco will look to rely on that interior dominance and rebounding effort again against a rested Oregon State squad.

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Beavers Rested and Ready After First-Round Bye

Oregon State enters the quarterfinal matchup with a 16-15 overall record and a 9-9 mark in WCC play. The Beavers earned a bye into the quarterfinal round and will open tournament play against San Francisco. In their last five games, Oregon State has recently won over San Diego and Pepperdine while recently losing to Santa Clara and Seattle and recently winning over San Francisco earlier in that stretch.

The Beavers average 71.4 points per game while allowing 74.4 points per contest this season. As a team, they shoot 43% from the field and average 32.4 rebounds along with 13.8 assists per game. Defensively, Oregon State contributes 3.6 blocks and 5.7 steals per contest, relying on length and interior defense to disrupt opposing offenses.

In their most recent game against Santa Clara, Oregon State fell 93-72 but still showed flashes offensively. Johan Munch led the team with 19 points on 6-of-9 shooting and also converted seven free throws, while Jorge Diaz Graham pulled down seven rebounds to lead the team on the glass. Despite the loss, Oregon State’s rest advantage coming into this matchup could play an important role, particularly against a San Francisco team that had to play the night before.

San Francisco Dons vs Oregon State Beavers Pick

San Francisco Dons vs Oregon State Beavers Spread Pick

  • Pick: Oregon State Beavers - Moneyline

Oregon State enters this quarterfinal with the advantage of extra rest and familiarity with San Francisco after defeating the Dons earlier in the season. While San Francisco looked strong in its win over Portland, tournament fatigue can become a factor with a quick turnaround. The Beavers have also shown the ability to score efficiently inside and draw fouls, which could be important against a physical San Francisco frontcourt. With fresher legs and the benefit of preparation time, Oregon State has the edge to advance.

San Francisco Dons vs Oregon State Beavers Total Pick

  • Pick: Over

I like the over in this matchup because both teams have demonstrated the ability to score efficiently when they get into rhythm. San Francisco just scored 82 points in its tournament win and showed strong rebounding and interior scoring. Oregon State also has offensive balance and can generate points at the free-throw line, which helps drive totals higher in tournament games. With both teams capable of pushing the pace and creating scoring opportunities, I expect enough offense for the total to go over.

Final Score Prediction: Oregon State Beavers 78, San Francisco Dons 74

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