San Francisco Dons vs San Diego Toreros Picks and Predictions for Sunday February 15 2026
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The San Francisco Dons head to the Jenny Craig Pavilion to take on the San Diego Toreros on Sunday, February 15, 2026. Tip-off is set for 6:00 PM ET with coverage on ESPN+. San Francisco enters this West Coast Conference matchup as a 3.5-point favorite, and the total is listed at 148.5. At the time of this writing, the moneyline odds were not released. As always, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert betting insight and daily selections.
Dons Searching for Stability
San Francisco comes into this contest at 14-13 overall and 6-8 in WCC play, including a 6-8 conference road record. The Dons have dropped four of their last five games, recently losing to Oregon State 90-63, Saint Mary’s 79-54, LMU 84-75, and Santa Clara 88-73. Their only win during that stretch came against Pacific 87-82. Defensive lapses have been a recurring issue in these losses.
The Dons average 74.4 points per game while allowing 72.5. They shoot 43% from the field and pull down a solid 37.0 rebounds per contest. San Francisco also averages 13.8 assists per game, showing decent offensive movement despite recent struggles.
One strength for San Francisco is rebounding. Averaging 37 boards per game gives them opportunities for second-chance points. However, when they allow opponents to dictate tempo, their defense has struggled to keep games within reach.
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Toreros Looking to Build on Momentum
San Diego enters this matchup at 11-16 overall and 5-9 in WCC action, including a 5-9 conference home record. The Toreros have won two of their last five games, recently beating Portland 71-58 and Pepperdine 92-88 in overtime. They’ve also fallen to LMU 83-63, Saint Mary’s 87-60, and Oregon State 78-76 in overtime. While inconsistent, they have shown the ability to compete in close games.
San Diego averages 75.4 points per game but allows 77.9, reflecting defensive concerns. They shoot 44% from the field and grab 32.3 rebounds per contest. The Toreros move the ball well, averaging 16.1 assists per game, which is one of their stronger statistical areas.
What stands out for San Diego is their backcourt activity. They average 8.3 steals per game, which can create transition opportunities and momentum swings. However, giving up nearly 78 points per game makes it difficult to consistently close out opponents.
San Francisco Dons vs San Diego Toreros Pick
San Francisco Dons vs San Diego Toreros Spread Pick
- Pick: San Francisco -3.5
Despite recent struggles, San Francisco holds the rebounding edge and slightly stronger defensive profile. San Diego’s defensive numbers, allowing 77.9 points per game, present a favorable matchup for a Dons team capable of scoring in the mid-70s. Laying the small number with the road favorite offers value.
San Francisco Dons vs San Diego Toreros Total Pick
- Pick: Over 148.5
I’m leaning toward the over in this one. Both teams average around 75 points per game, and San Diego’s defensive struggles combined with their high assist numbers suggest a faster-paced contest. With both teams capable of scoring and allowing points, this matchup has a good chance to reach the low 150s.
Final Score Prediction: San Francisco 78, San Diego 74
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