San José State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons Picks and Predictions for Tuesday February 24 2026
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San José State travels to Colorado Springs to face Air Force at Clune Arena (Colorado Springs, CO) on Tuesday at 9:00 PM, with the game airing on MWN. San José State is listed as a 6.5-point favorite, and the total is set at 144.5, while at the time of this writing the odds were not released for the moneyline. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more action across the board.
San José State Looking to Capitalize on a Struggling Opponent
San José State enters this matchup at 7-20 overall with a 2-14 record in Mountain West play. A road record was not provided in the information available, but their recent stretch has been uneven at best. Over the last five games, the Spartans as recently lost to Boise State 84-69, won over Nevada 87-71, lost to GCU 94-79, lost to UNLV 82-75, and lost to Colorado State 65-57.
Offensively, San José State averages 70.7 points per game while allowing 77.4 points per contest. They are shooting 43% from the field and grabbing 30.0 rebounds per game, with 10.7 assists per outing. The assist number is modest, and that often shows up in stretches where the offense stalls and becomes more one-on-one oriented.
Where the Spartans can find an edge in this matchup is relative. Despite their struggles, they are still scoring nearly 10 points per game more than Air Force and are more capable of getting into the 70s. Their 5.7 steals per game also give them some ability to create transition chances against an Air Force offense that has had trouble consistently scoring in the half court.
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Air Force Searching for Answers
Air Force comes into this contest at 3-24 overall and 0-16 in Mountain West play. A home record was not provided, but the Falcons have not found much relief anywhere this season. In their last five games, they as recently lost to UNLV 91-66, lost to New Mexico 98-61, lost to Fresno State 93-63, lost to Colorado State 91-74, and lost to San Diego State 88-54.
The numbers tell a tough story. Air Force is averaging just 61.6 points per game while giving up 80.1, and they are shooting 42% from the field. They collect 29.1 rebounds per game and average 12.4 assists, which suggests they do attempt to share the ball, but the offensive output simply hasn’t followed.
The biggest concern for the Falcons is on the defensive end. Allowing 80.1 points per game while also struggling to score puts them in a constant uphill battle. Even though they average 2.4 blocks and 5.6 steals per game, those defensive plays haven’t translated into sustainable runs. When you’re consistently allowing opponents to approach or surpass 90 points, the margin for error becomes almost nonexistent.
San José State vs Air Force Pick
San José State vs Air Force spread pick
- Pick: San José State -6.5
Even though San José State has had its own issues this season, this line reflects the stark difference in scoring profiles. The Spartans average 70.7 points per game compared to Air Force’s 61.6, and the Falcons are allowing 80.1 per contest. That combination makes it difficult to trust Air Force to keep this within one or two possessions. If San José State can simply play to its average offensively, it should be enough to cover against a team that has struggled to compete in conference play.
San José State vs Air Force total pick
- Pick: Under 144.5
I’m leaning under here because Air Force’s offense has consistently failed to keep pace, and they average just 61.6 points per game. Even though they allow a lot defensively, San José State’s 70.7-point average suggests this is unlikely to become a true track meet. If the Falcons once again struggle to reach the mid-60s, it becomes difficult for this total to push into the mid-140s. I see a slower-paced, uneven offensive performance that keeps this one below the number.
Final Score Prediction: San José State 72, Air Force 63
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