San José State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 11 2026
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The San José State Spartans and Boise State Broncos meet in the Mountain West Championship 1st Round on Wednesday at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada. Tipoff is scheduled for 11:30 PM ET with television coverage on MWN. Boise State enters the tournament with strong momentum, while San José State hopes to pull off a surprise to extend its season. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more betting insight and daily selections.
San José State Hoping to Slow the Game Down
The San José State Spartans enter the Mountain West Tournament with an 8-23 overall record and have struggled away from home this season. San José State has recently won over Air Force while recently losing to Wyoming, Fresno State, Colorado State, and Boise State. That recent stretch highlights a team that has had difficulty finding consistent offensive production against stronger conference opponents.
The Spartans average 71.5 points per game while allowing 78.2 points per contest. San José State shoots 43% from the field, averages 29.8 rebounds per game, and produces 10.6 assists per contest. Defensively, the Spartans record 2.2 blocks and 5.7 steals per game, but they have struggled to limit scoring opportunities throughout the season.
One of the key concerns for San José State entering this matchup is its defensive consistency. The Spartans allow more than 78 points per game and were recently defeated by Boise State by a comfortable margin. If San José State hopes to compete in this tournament matchup, it will need to slow the tempo and improve defensive execution.
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Boise State Bringing Strong Momentum
The Boise State Broncos come into the Mountain West Tournament with a 20-11 overall record and have played well away from home throughout the season. Boise State has recently won over Colorado State, San Diego State, Fresno State, Wyoming, and San José State, entering the tournament on a strong winning streak.
The Broncos average 78.3 points per game while allowing 73.1 points per contest. Boise State shoots 46% from the field, averages 35.9 rebounds per game, and produces 13.2 assists per contest. Defensively, the Broncos contribute 2.2 blocks and 4.6 steals per game, relying on disciplined defense and efficient offense.
Boise State’s biggest advantage in this matchup is its balance on both ends of the floor. The Broncos have been one of the more consistent teams in the conference and recently defeated San José State comfortably. If Boise State continues to control the glass and execute offensively, it should have a clear advantage.
San José State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Pick
San José State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Pick
- Pick: Boise State Broncos Moneyline
Boise State enters this matchup with a far stronger record and significantly better recent form. The Broncos have already defeated San José State recently and have shown the ability to control the pace against weaker opponents. With Boise State playing confidently and efficiently, they should have the advantage in this first-round tournament game.
San José State Spartans vs Boise State Broncos Total Pick
- Pick: Over if the total is set at 146.5
I like the over in this matchup because Boise State averages more than 78 points per game and tends to push the pace offensively. San José State allows more than 78 points per contest, which could allow the Broncos to generate scoring runs. If Boise State establishes offensive rhythm early, this game could climb into the mid-to-high 140s.
Final Score Prediction: Boise State Broncos 83, San José State Spartans 70
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