South Carolina Gamecocks vs Auburn Tigers Picks and Predictions for Saturday January 17 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/17/2026, 03:31 AM ET
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South Carolina heads to Neville Arena to take on Auburn on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST on SEC Network, with Auburn -650 on the money line and South Carolina +470, the total set at 152.5 (over/under -110), and the spread Auburn -11.5 (-115) with South Carolina +11.5 (-105). Make sure you’re also checking out our free college basketball picks for more plays on tonight’s slate.

South Carolina’s Offense Can Score, But the Margin is Thin

South Carolina enters at 10-7 and has been up-and-down recently, with losses to Arkansas, Georgia, and Vanderbilt mixed with wins over LSU and UAlbany.

The Gamecocks are scoring 79.2 points per game while allowing 71.8, shooting 46% from the field with 34.2 rebounds and 14.9 assists. They also average 2.4 blocks and 5.3 steals.

South Carolina’s scoring output is solid, but the lower steals/blocks numbers suggest they’re not consistently creating extra possessions. Against a team expected to be in control, you want either elite shot-making or disruptive defense to stay inside a big number.

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Auburn’s Games Run Hot—On Both Ends

Auburn comes in at 10-7 and has recently lost to Missouri, Texas A&M, and Georgia (in overtime), while picking up wins over Arkansas and Queens.

The Tigers are scoring 88.7 points per game and allowing 85.1, shooting 48% with 38.6 rebounds and 16.1 assists. They also post 4.5 blocks and 6.5 steals.

The biggest thing here is Auburn’s tempo/volatility profile—when you’re allowing 85.1 per game, you can let underdogs hang around, even if you score plenty yourself. That matters a lot when you’re laying double digits.

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Auburn Tigers Pick

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Auburn Tigers Pick

  • Pick: South Carolina +11.5 (-105)

I’m taking the points because Auburn’s defensive number (85.1 allowed) is exactly the type of stat that invites backdoor covers. South Carolina can score 79.2 per game and shoots 46%, so they’re capable of putting points on the board even if Auburn controls stretches. With Auburn playing high-scoring games on both ends, a 10–12 point window late is very realistic.

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Auburn Tigers Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 152.5 (-110)

I’m on the over because Auburn’s games are naturally inflated—88.7 scored and 85.1 allowed is a track-meet profile. South Carolina contributes with 79.2 PPG, and even if they’re behind, that often speeds the game up and creates more possessions.

Final Score Prediction: Auburn 84, South Carolina 76

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