South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls Picks and Predictions for Sunday February 15 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/15/2026, 12:30 AM ET
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The South Florida Bulls travel to Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls on Sunday, February 15, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:00 PM ET with national coverage on ESPN2. South Florida is listed as a 4.5-point favorite in this American Athletic Conference showdown, and the total is set at 164. At the time of this writing, the moneyline odds were not released. As always, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily betting analysis and expert insight.

Bulls Bringing Offensive Firepower on the Road

South Florida enters this matchup at 17-8 overall and 9-3 in AAC play, including a strong 9-3 conference road record. The Bulls have won four of their last five games, recently defeating Wichita State 66-58, Tulsa 80-74, and UTSA 109-88, while also beating Tulane 97-83. Their lone loss during that stretch came at Temple in a narrow 79-78 contest. Momentum is clearly on their side heading into this rivalry matchup.

Offensively, South Florida is one of the highest-scoring teams in the conference, averaging 89.0 points per game. They allow 78.4 per contest, often playing at a fast tempo. The Bulls shoot 44% from the field and dominate the glass with 42.6 rebounds per game. They also average an impressive 17.4 assists per contest, showing excellent ball movement.

The Bulls’ identity revolves around pace and pressure. Averaging 9.1 steals per game and 4.5 blocks, they force turnovers and create transition opportunities. Their ability to push the tempo and control the boards makes them difficult to slow down.

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Owls Looking to Snap Losing Skid at Home

Florida Atlantic comes into this contest at 14-11 overall and 6-6 in AAC play, including a 6-6 conference home record. The Owls have lost five straight games, recently falling to Rice 81-73, Tulsa 78-76, ECU 76-75, Memphis 92-65, and South Florida 89-75. That earlier loss to the Bulls adds extra motivation for this rematch.

Florida Atlantic averages 81.0 points per game while allowing 75.0. They shoot 46% from the field and pull down 39.3 rebounds per game. The Owls also average 13.6 assists and 5.6 blocks per contest, showing solid interior presence.

While Florida Atlantic can score, their defensive inconsistency has been costly during this losing streak. Giving up 75 points per game against a team averaging 89 creates a tough matchup. However, their rebounding and rim protection could help them stay competitive at home.

South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls Pick

South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls Spread Pick

  • Pick: South Florida -4.5

South Florida’s offensive firepower and recent momentum give them the edge here. They’ve already beaten Florida Atlantic during this stretch and continue to score at a high level. With the Bulls averaging 89 points per game and pushing the pace, they are well-positioned to cover the modest spread.

South Florida Bulls vs Florida Atlantic Owls Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 164

I’m leaning toward the over in this matchup. South Florida plays at a fast tempo and consistently scores in the 80s and 90s. Florida Atlantic also averages 81 points per game, so both teams have the ability to contribute offensively. With these scoring averages, this game could easily push into the high 160s.

Final Score Prediction: South Florida 90, Florida Atlantic 82

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