South Florida Bulls vs Tulane Green Wave Picks and Prediction for Wednesday January 28 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/28/2026, 02:15 AM ET
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The South Florida Bulls head on the road to face the Tulane Green Wave on Wednesday night in an American Athletic Conference matchup at Devlin Fieldhouse. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised nationally on ESPNU. As of now, the moneyline is off the board, but the total is set at 156.5 points, with the over priced at +105 and the under at -115. South Florida comes into this game favored by 7.5 points at -112, while Tulane is getting +7.5 at -108. Before breaking this one down further, make sure to check out our free college basketball picks for additional insights and daily betting value.

Bulls Bringing the Heat on the Road

South Florida enters this matchup with a 13-7 overall record and has been one of the more productive offensive teams in the conference this season. While their road record has been tested at times, the Bulls have shown an ability to win away from home, including a recent road victory over UAB and another strong performance at Tulsa. Over their last five games, South Florida has been rolling, with wins over FAU, UAB, ECU, and Tulsa, with their lone setback coming in a tight overtime loss to Wichita State. This stretch shows a team that is confident, battle-tested, and playing its best basketball heading into late January.

From a statistical standpoint, South Florida thrives on tempo and scoring depth. The Bulls are averaging 89.8 points per game, one of the highest marks in the AAC, while allowing 78.9 points per contest. They shoot 44% from the field and are extremely active on the glass, pulling down 43.4 rebounds per game. Ball movement has also been a strength, as they average 17.6 assists per game, helping them generate high-quality looks throughout the shot clock.

One of the biggest advantages for South Florida is their activity on the defensive end. The Bulls average 9.4 steals per game, which allows them to create easy transition points and keep constant pressure on opposing ball handlers. When South Florida is forcing turnovers and pushing the pace, they are extremely difficult to slow down, especially against teams that struggle to keep up offensively.

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Green Wave Searching for Consistency at Home

Tulane comes into Wednesday’s contest with a 12-8 overall record and has had an up-and-down stretch over the past two weeks. The Green Wave have struggled recently, dropping four of their last five games, including losses to Charlotte, FAU, North Texas, and UAB. Their only win during that span came in a lopsided road victory over UTSA. While Tulane has been competitive in several of those losses, the results highlight some consistency issues on both ends of the floor.

Offensively, Tulane is averaging 73.2 points per game while allowing 73.6, indicating a relatively balanced but unspectacular profile. The Green Wave shoot 43% from the field and average just 30.9 rebounds per game, which puts them at a disadvantage against more physical and up-tempo opponents. Their assist numbers are also modest at 12.5 per game, suggesting that much of their offense comes from individual creation rather than sustained ball movement.

Defensively, Tulane does have some positives, particularly when it comes to activity. They average 8.1 steals and 4.7 blocks per game, showing an ability to disrupt passing lanes and protect the rim. However, when forced to play at a faster pace, Tulane has struggled to maintain defensive structure, which could be an issue against a South Florida team that looks to score early and often.

South Florida Bulls vs Tulane Green Wave Pick

South Florida Bulls vs Tulane Green Wave Pick

  • South Florida Bulls -7.5 (-112)

The spread is the preferred play in this matchup, as South Florida’s offensive firepower and rebounding edge should be decisive. The Bulls are the more complete team and come in with better recent form, while Tulane has struggled to string together consistent performances. South Florida’s ability to force turnovers and convert them into points gives them a clear path to building and maintaining a double-digit lead, even on the road.

South Florida Bulls vs Tulane Green Wave Total Pick

  • Over 156.5 (+105)

I’m leaning to the over in this spot because South Florida dictates tempo and consistently pushes games into higher-scoring territory. Even if Tulane doesn’t light up the scoreboard, the Bulls are capable of carrying a large portion of the total themselves. With South Florida averaging nearly 90 points per game and Tulane playing better offensively at home, this number feels slightly too low for a matchup involving such a fast-paced visiting team.

Final Score Prediction: South Florida 88, Tulane 78

How To Bet This Matchup

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