Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Morehead State Eagles Picks and Predictions for Friday March 6 2026
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The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks and Morehead State Eagles meet in the OVC Championship Semifinal on Friday, March 6, 2026 at Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 PM ET, and the game will be televised on ESPNU. Southeast Missouri State advanced to this stage after winning its quarterfinal matchup, while Morehead State earned a bye into the semifinal following a strong regular season in the Ohio Valley Conference. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert betting analysis and daily predictions.
Redhawks Advance After Hard-Fought Quarterfinal
The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks enter the semifinal with a 20-12 overall record and a 14-6 OVC conference record. SEMO advanced in the OVC Championship with a 68-66 victory over Lindenwood in the quarterfinal round. In recent action, the Redhawks have recently won over Lindenwood, Tennessee Tech, Little Rock, and UT Martin while recently losing to Tennessee State.
Southeast Missouri State averages 75.2 points per game while allowing 70.8 points per contest, showing a balanced approach on both ends of the floor. The Redhawks shoot 45% from the field and average 33.8 rebounds per game, while contributing 12.6 assists per contest. Defensively, SEMO adds 3.5 blocks and 6.8 steals per game, numbers that reflect an active defense capable of generating momentum-changing plays.
In the quarterfinal win over Lindenwood, Braxton Stacker led SEMO with 16 points, shooting 5-of-10 from the field and knocking down all four of his free throw attempts. Marqueas Bell led the Redhawks with 5 rebounds, helping the team remain competitive on the boards despite being out-rebounded overall. SEMO showed resilience in the second half of that game, and their ability to grind out close wins could become an important factor in the semifinal.
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Morehead State Enters Semifinal with Rest Advantage
The Morehead State Eagles enter the OVC Championship Semifinal with a 19-12 overall record and a 15-5 conference record, earning a bye into the semifinal round thanks to their strong regular-season performance. Morehead State enters the tournament with momentum after an excellent stretch of games, having recently won over Little Rock, Southern Indiana, Western Illinois, Eastern Illinois, and Tennessee State.
The Eagles average 75.8 points per game while allowing 74.6 points per contest this season. Morehead State shoots 47% from the field and averages 36.0 rebounds per game, while producing 13.8 assists per contest. Defensively, the Eagles contribute 3.0 blocks and 6.6 steals per game, reflecting a team that can protect the rim and create turnovers.
In their most recent victory, a 76-70 win over Little Rock, George Marshall led the Eagles with 28 points, shooting an efficient 9-of-13 from the field and adding key free throws late. Jon Carroll dominated the boards with 13 rebounds, including six offensive rebounds that gave Morehead State valuable second-chance opportunities. With extra rest and a strong inside presence from Carroll, the Eagles enter the semifinal with a clear physical advantage.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Morehead State Eagles Pick
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Morehead State Eagles Spread Pick
- Pick: Morehead State Eagles Moneyline
Morehead State enters this matchup with the advantage of rest and one of the stronger frontcourts in the OVC. Jon Carroll’s presence in the paint gives the Eagles a rebounding edge, while George Marshall’s scoring ability adds offensive stability. SEMO showed resilience in the quarterfinal, but the short turnaround combined with Morehead State’s interior dominance makes the Eagles the more reliable side in this semifinal matchup.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Morehead State Eagles Total Pick
- Pick: Under 146.5
I like the under in this matchup because both teams are capable of slowing the pace and relying on half-court offense in tournament play. SEMO’s defense has been solid all season, allowing just over 70 points per game, while Morehead State often controls the tempo through rebounding and interior play. With a semifinal berth on the line, I expect a tighter defensive battle that keeps the total under the number.
Final Score Prediction: Morehead State Eagles 74, Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 68
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