Southern Jaguars vs Texas Longhorns Picks & Prediction for Monday December 8 2025
Use Code PPWC
Texas returns home on Monday night looking to bounce back from a tough loss to Virginia as they host the fast-paced Southern Jaguars at the Moody Center. Tipoff is set for 8:00 PM ET on SEC Network. For more breakdowns and betting edges across the board, check out today’s full slate of Free College Basketball Picks.
Southern Jaguars Betting Preview
Southern enters at 4–4 overall and an impressive 92.3 points per game, making them one of the more entertaining underdogs on the mid-major circuit. They’ve scored 101, 75, and 129 in three of their last four games — but context matters. Those wins came against lighter competition, and their struggles against high-major teams have been noticeable:
-
Lost 80–66 to San Jose State
-
Lost 99–93 (2OT) to Washington — strong effort but still outmatched athletically
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
I understand that I can unsubscribe at any time. I have read and accepted the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy. I consent that Picks And Parlays may use third-party services to process my data. -
Allowing 78.0 PPG and can get overwhelmed at the rim
The heart and soul of the offense is M. Jacobs, averaging:
-
22.3 PPG
-
51.2% shooting
-
An explosive downhill scorer who doesn’t shy away from big moments
Southern can spread the floor, run in transition, and force turnovers (12.1 steals per game, elite by national standards). But the defensive issues show up quickly when opponents keep their spacing and don’t panic vs pressure.
Rebounding is also a concern — they grab 40 per game, but Texas brings another level of physicality that will test their ability to finish possessions.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
At 6–3, Texas is coming off an 88–69 loss to Virginia in which they were slowed down, out-executed, and outshot from deep. The good news? Southern’s style is the exact opposite of UVA’s deliberate, defensive approach.
Texas matches up extremely well here.
The Longhorns average:
-
88.4 PPG
-
Shoot 55.4% with their top scorer
-
Allow just 73.7 PPG, strong considering their pace of play
-
A dominant 50 rebounds per game, tied with Southern but against much stronger competition
D. Swain leads UT with:
-
16.3 PPG
-
A highly efficient 55.4% from the field
-
82.9% from the free-throw line
Texas has a deeper rotation, cleaner half-court execution, more reliable rim protection, and better physicality. At home — where they’re 4–1 — their energy typically spikes, and their role players shoot better.
One key angle: Texas is coming off a loss and historically responds very well as a big home favorite. With their athleticism and shooting, this is the type of matchup where Texas can run away early.
Matchup Breakdown
1. Pace and Shot Quality
Both teams score in bunches, but Texas has the more efficient shot profile — better shooters, bigger bodies at the rim, and far more reliable ball movement in the half court.
Southern scores more, but much of that comes from forcing turnovers. Texas doesn’t panic vs pressure and has superior guards capable of breaking press looks.
2. Rebounding
Both teams average 50 boards per game, but Texas has achieved that vs a much tougher schedule. Their elite offensive rebound rate could be a major separator.
3. Depth and Physicality
Southern relies heavily on Jacobs. Texas has five legitimate scoring threats and waves of long, athletic defenders.
Over 40 minutes, that difference shows.
4. Motivation Spot
Texas is off a loss. Southern is stepping up in class. This usually produces one result: an angry first-half burst from the home favorite.
Southern vs Texas Prediction
Southern is dangerous in spurts and athletic enough to hang around early. But once Texas adjusts to the pressure and controls the glass, the Longhorns should steadily pull away.
Texas is bigger, deeper, more efficient, and significantly stronger defensively.
Best Bet: Texas -22.5 Projected Final Score: Texas 98, Southern 72
Betting on College Basketball?
- Join Picks and Parlays premium for free and get a free $30 coupon with code FREE30
- Get started and wager on college hoops today with our favorite online sportsbooks
- Claim a CBB betting bonus offer with the best sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $200 in Bonuses Instantly!
