Southern Utah at Oregon State — Picks & Prediction for Saturday, December 6, 2025

By: Garrett Beaverson Published 12/06/2025, 02:40 AM ET
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The Southern Utah Thunderbirds travel to Corvallis to face the Oregon State Beavers on Saturday, December 6, 2025. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds Analysis

Southern Utah’s 2025–26 season has been up and down, but recent results suggest some upward momentum under coach Rob Jeter.

Key Team Metrics & Style

  • Their record stands at 4–6 before this game.

  • They average 81.4 points per game, while allowing 80.2 points per game.

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  • Shooting and ball movement: Their field-goal percentage is ~45.9%, they hit around 7.9 threes per game, and average 15.5 assists per game, showing a willingness to share the ball and shoot from distance.

Standout Players & Contributors

  • Elijah Duval — leading scorer at ~13.8 PPG, also contributes assists and perimeter defense.

  • Jaiden Feroah — scoring and rim-protection presence, contributing double-digit points and strong field-goal percentage.

  • Shooting threats from depth: multiple players have hit double figures recently.

Strengths

  • Offensive pace and scoring burst potential: When the shots are falling they can score in bunches.

  • Ball movement and perimeter shooting: Their 3-point shooting and assist numbers suggest they can stretch defenses.

  • Momentum and confidence: Back-to-back wins entering this game may help them play with energy and less pressure.

Weaknesses / Risks

  • Defense and consistency issues: Allowing ~80+ points per game — if Oregon State hits shots or dominates the glass, SUU could struggle.

  • Away-game performance has been shaky — Southern Utah was 0–5 away from home prior to their recent boost.

  • Reliance on shooting and rhythm: If perimeter shots don’t fall, offense sometimes dries up.

Oregon State Beavers Analysis

Oregon State comes in 4–5 on the season.

Team Metrics & Style

  • In their last game the Beavers beat Vermont convincingly 80–58.

  • On average they score ~72 points per game, while conceding roughly 73.

  • Their shooting splits this season are roughly 43% FG, 34% from three, and ~77% FT.

Standout Players & Contributors

  • Dez White — a key outside shooter, hitting a fair share of threes, provides spacing and scoring from distance.

  • Josiah Lake II — reliable inside scoring and overall floor contribution; offers balance inside-outside.

  • Balanced roster depth — bench shooters and role players capable of contributing, which improves their ability to handle runs.

Strengths

  • Home-court comfort and rhythm potential: At Gill Coliseum they have history and environment that can help them control tempo and execution.

  • Size and inside-out balance: Their ability to mix inside scoring with perimeter shooting could challenge SUU’s defensive scheme.

  • Motivation to stabilize season early: With an under .500 record, they might play with urgency to avoid a rough non-conference start.

Weaknesses / Risks

  • Defensive lapses and rebound vulnerability: With SUU’s ability to shoot and move the ball, OSU’s defense and glass control will be tested.

  • Inconsistency on offense: When shooting or spacing falters, their scoring dips and they may struggle to keep pace in high-scoring games.

Standout Players & Key Matchups

  • Southern Utah:

    • Elijah Duval — primary playmaker and perimeter scorer. Big night from him could level the playing field.

    • Jaiden Feroah — inside-out energy, shot creation, and rim protection — useful if OSU tries to play physical.

  • Oregon State:

    • Dez White — the shooter who must hit outside shots to punish SUU if they over-help on drives.

    • Josiah Lake II — inside scoring and leadership; if he controls the paint, it could limit SUU’s transition chances.

Southern Utah vs Oregon State Prediction Reasoning

Southern Utah brings confidence, recent wins, and a free-shooting attack that could challenge Oregon State. They’re not an easy out. However, Oregon State’s home court, size, and potential to balance inside and outside scoring give them the structural advantage. Betting on sports and on Southern Utah is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Oregon State with the Novig promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Oregon State vs Southern Utah you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Final Score Projection: Oregon State 81, Southern Utah 68

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Best Picks

  • Oregon State -12.5
  • Over 146.5 total points
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