Stetson Hatters vs Austin Peay Governors Picks and Predictions for Friday March 6 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/06/2026, 12:50 AM ET
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The Stetson Hatters face the Austin Peay Governors in the ASUN Championship Quarterfinal on Friday March 6, 2026 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Florida. Tip-off is scheduled for 5:00 PM and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released for the moneyline, total, or spread. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insight across the college basketball slate.

Hatters Bringing Confidence into the Quarterfinal

Stetson enters the ASUN Tournament with a 12-20 overall record and a 7-11 mark in conference play. Despite the losing record, the Hatters have been playing better basketball recently as they recently won over Eastern Kentucky, recently won over Florida Gulf Coast, recently lost to Jacksonville, recently won over North Florida, and recently lost to Central Arkansas.

Offensively, Stetson averages 73.5 points per game while allowing 80.1 points per contest. The Hatters shoot 45% from the field while averaging 33.0 rebounds and 15.3 assists per game.

One area where Stetson has found success is ball movement and offensive execution. The Hatters distribute the ball well and are capable of creating quality scoring opportunities when they move the ball efficiently. However, their defensive numbers have been inconsistent throughout the season, which has made it difficult to close out games.

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Governors Looking to Rebound from Recent Losses

Austin Peay comes into this ASUN quarterfinal matchup with a strong 21-8 overall record and a 15-3 mark in conference play. The Governors had a strong regular season but enter the tournament after a couple of recent losses. In their last five games they recently lost to Bellarmine, recently lost to Central Arkansas, recently won over Jacksonville, recently won over North Florida, and recently won over Bellarmine.

The Governors average 82.0 points per game while allowing 73.1 points per contest. Austin Peay shoots 47% from the field while averaging 35.2 rebounds and 16.4 assists per game.

Defensively, the Governors apply strong pressure with 9.6 steals per game, which often leads to fast break scoring opportunities. Their defensive activity combined with efficient offense has made them one of the more dangerous teams in the ASUN throughout the season.

Stetson vs Austin Peay Pick

Stetson vs Austin Peay Pick

  • Austin Peay -7

Austin Peay has been the stronger team throughout the season and their offensive efficiency combined with defensive pressure gives them an advantage in this matchup. The Governors score over 82 points per game and create extra possessions through steals, which could be difficult for Stetson to handle. While the Hatters have shown improvement recently, Austin Peay’s overall depth and scoring ability should allow them to control the game.

Stetson vs Austin Peay Total Pick

  • Take the over if the total is set at 155

Both teams have shown the ability to score throughout the season, and Austin Peay plays at a pace that can lead to higher scoring games. Stetson’s defense has allowed over 80 points per game, which could open the door for a strong offensive performance from the Governors. Because of that, I lean toward the over if the total lands near this range.

Final Score Prediction: Austin Peay 84, Stetson 74

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