Stonehill Skyhawks vs Mercyhurst Lakers Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 7 2026
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The Stonehill Skyhawks and Mercyhurst Lakers meet in the Northeast Conference Tournament Semifinal on Saturday March 7, 2026 at Mercyhurst Athletic Center in Erie, Pennsylvania. Tipoff is scheduled for 12:00 PM and the game will be televised on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released for this matchup. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert predictions on today’s games.
Stonehill Trying to Continue Late-Season Surge
The Stonehill Skyhawks enter the NEC Tournament semifinal with a 12-20 overall record and an 8-10 mark in conference play. Stonehill advanced to this stage after recently winning over Le Moyne 81-71 in the quarterfinal round. The Skyhawks have been playing some of their best basketball lately, recently winning over Saint Francis (PA) 103-77 and Le Moyne 77-68 while recently losing to Mercyhurst 75-72 in overtime and New Haven 64-51.
Stonehill averages 66.9 points per game while allowing 69.0 points per contest this season. The Skyhawks shoot 42% from the field and have been solid on the glass with 37.7 rebounds per game. They also average 12.7 assists per game, showing an ability to move the ball and create scoring opportunities when their offense is flowing.
Defensively Stonehill has relied on interior presence, averaging 3.9 blocks per game. The Skyhawks also generate 4.8 steals per contest, and when they control the boards and protect the paint, they are capable of slowing down opposing offenses.
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Mercyhurst Protecting Home Court
The Mercyhurst Lakers come into the NEC Tournament semifinal with a 16-16 overall record and a 10-8 conference mark. Mercyhurst advanced with a recent 70-61 win over Fairleigh Dickinson and has been competitive down the stretch, recently winning over Stonehill 75-72 in overtime and LIU 91-83 while recently losing to Central Connecticut State 80-78 and Wagner 83-80 in overtime.
The Lakers average 69.8 points per game while allowing 67.5 points per contest. Mercyhurst shoots an efficient 46% from the field and averages 14.7 assists per game, showing strong ball movement and offensive efficiency throughout the season.
Defensively Mercyhurst applies consistent pressure, averaging 7.4 steals per game. They also average 3.8 blocks per contest and do a solid job disrupting opposing offenses, particularly on their home floor where their defensive intensity tends to increase.
Stonehill Skyhawks vs Mercyhurst Lakers Pick
Stonehill Skyhawks vs Mercyhurst Lakers Pick
- Mercyhurst Lakers Moneyline
Mercyhurst already proved they can handle Stonehill in a tight game with the recent overtime victory, and playing this semifinal on their home court should give them an added advantage. The Lakers are slightly more efficient offensively and have stronger defensive pressure, particularly with their ability to generate steals. Those factors could be key in a tournament setting where possessions become more valuable.
Stonehill Skyhawks vs Mercyhurst Lakers Total Pick
- Under #
I lean toward the under in this matchup because both teams tend to play at a controlled pace and neither offense consistently produces high scoring outputs. Mercyhurst allows just 67.5 points per game while Stonehill averages under 67 points offensively. With the stakes of a tournament semifinal and familiarity between the teams, I expect a more defensive battle.
Final Score Prediction: Mercyhurst 69, Stonehill 64
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