TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28, 2026
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TCU heads to Bramlage Coliseum for a Big 12 matchup against Kansas State on Saturday evening. The Horned Frogs are 18-10 overall and 8-7 in conference play, currently tied for 7th in the Big 12 standings. Kansas State is 11-17 overall and 2-13 in league action, sitting tied for 15th in the conference race. TCU has won four of its last five games and is coming off a 90-78 home win over Arizona State, while Kansas State dropped a 79-70 road decision at Colorado in its most recent outing. Build your bankroll with our free college basketball picks.
Game Information
- Date: Saturday, February 28
- Time: 6:30 PM ET
- Location: Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS
- TV: ESPN2
TCU Horned Frogs Outlook
TCU averages 78.3 points per game while shooting 44.8% from the field, and the Frogs have been at their best recently with strong defense and playing with poise late in games. David Punch leads TCU with averages of 13.9 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks per contest, giving the Frogs an interior anchor on both ends. Xavier Edmonds (12.6 points, 6.4 rebounds) adds a steady secondary scoring presence, while Jayden Pierre (10.8 points) and Micah Robinson (10.6 points) provide additional scoring off the bench. Brock Harding directs the offense with 5.9 assists per game, and TCU’s defense is solid, averaging 7.8 steals and 4.8 blocks per contest. Defensively, TCU allows 72.0 points per game, and that edge on the defensive end is a major reason the Frogs are positioned to finish the regular season strong.
Injury Report: Malick Diallo is out for the season.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 78.3
- Points Allowed: 72.0
- Rebounds: 36.1
- Assists: 15.8
- Steals: 7.8
- Blocks: 4.8
- Turnovers: 11.2
Kansas State Wildcats Outlook
Kansas State averages 79.9 points per game on 45.7% shooting, but consistency on defense has been the issue, as the Wildcats allow 81.1 points per game. P.J. Haggerty has been the most productive on offense, posting 23.5 points per game with 5.2 rebounds and 3.9 assists, and Kansas State will rely heavily on him to create offense in the half-court. Nate Johnson adds 12.0 points, 4.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists, and 2.1 steals per game, performing well at both ends, while David Castillo (11.0 points) helps stretch the floor. Kansas State averages 17.3 assists per game and can score in bursts, but the Wildcats have struggled to string together stops against quality Big 12 offenses.
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Injury Report: Elias Rapieque is questionable. Abdi Bashir Jr., Dorin Buca, and Mobi Ikegwuruka are out.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 79.9
- Points Allowed: 81.1
- Rebounds: 34.5
- Assists: 17.3
- Steals: 7.0
- Blocks: 3.6
- Turnovers: 12.8
TCU vs Kansas State Prediction
Kansas State has the best player on the floor in Haggerty, but TCU’s defense and recent form give the Frogs the bigger advantage. The Horned Frogs defend at a significantly higher level, and with multiple scorers around Punch plus Harding’s playmaking, TCU is better equipped to handle stretches where shots aren’t falling. The Horned Frogs will control the second half and pull away over the final five minutes to win on the road. Final Score Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs win and cover ATS, 81-74.
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- TCU Horned Frogs
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