Tennessee State at Belmont — Picks & Prediction for Saturday, November 8, 2025
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The Tigers travel to Nashville to take on the Bruins on Saturday, November 8, 2025, with tip-off scheduled for 8:00 PM ET at the Curb Event Center. Get in on the action with our free college basketball picks.
Belmont Bruins Analysis
Belmont enters at 1-0 after a 79-63 home win against Air Force Falcons in their season opener — the Bruins shot 47.3% from the floor and converted 21 of 25 free throws in that game.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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In the opener, Sam Orme scored 21 points while adding 5 rebounds and 4 assists.
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Team averages through one game: ~47.3% FG, ~84.0% free-throw rate.
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Betting line: Belmont is favored by ~12.5 points at home.
Strengths:
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Strong opening performance: high shooting percentage, efficient offense.
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Home-court advantage and comfortable margin indicated by market spread.
Weaknesses:
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Early season: depth and consistency still untested.
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Turnover statistics and perimeter defense not yet fully established.
Tennessee State Tigers Analysis
Tennessee State also enters the game 1-0 after a dominant 101-50 win over Fisk Bulldogs. The Tigers converted 51.3% of their field goal attempts, grabbed 60 rebounds, and forced 20 turnovers.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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In the opener, Carlous Williams scored 15 points on 6-of-7 shooting in 22 minutes.
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Team averages: ~101.0 points per game, ~51.3% FG, ~30% 3-point shooting (9 of 30).
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Defensive opener: held opponent to 27.3% shooting and just 50 points allowed.
Strengths:
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Explosive offensive start and dominant rebounding/defensive performance.
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High energy and momentum underdog mentality.
Weaknesses:
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Shooting percentage from three remains weak (30%).
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Road game against a strong mid-major home team with a larger roster depth.
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Market and matchup history lean strongly toward Belmont.
Standout Players & Key Notes
Belmont:
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Sam Orme: leading the scoring load and will be expected to replicate or improve his opener output.
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Team’s shooting efficiency and free-throw performance suggest they can extend leads.
Tennessee State:
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Carlous Williams: must continue efficient scoring and help offset Belmont’s edge.
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Tigers must exploit pace and prevent Belmont from settling into comfortable halves.
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Their rebounding edge and turnover generation will be vital to staying competitive.
Belmont vs Tennessee State Prediction Reasoning
Tennessee State has shown great promise, but the match-up (powerful mid-major vs. rising mid-major) and location favor the Bruins.
Belmont should control tempo early and avoid letting Tennessee State’s fast-break/defensive momentum take over. The Tigers could keep it within reach for a half, but Belmont’s depth and efficiency should pull away in the second half.
Final Score Projection: Belmont 78, Tennessee State 64
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Best Picks
- Belmont −12.5 spread
- Under 157.5 total points
