Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs. SMU Picks and Prediction for Thursday, November 6, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 11/06/2025, 12:40 AM ET
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SMU looks to keep momentum rolling when the Mustangs host Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Moody Coliseum in Dallas on Thursday night. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on ACC Extra. Both teams opened the season with wins, but SMU’s 96-76 victory over Tarleton State showed how dangerous this group can be offensively. The Mustangs enter as clear favorites, holding a 93.2% win probability according to ESPN Analytics. Big board, bigger value — see our winning college basketball predictions.

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Preview

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi enters 1-0 after a strong 83-56 win over Trinity Texas, showing solid play on both ends of the floor. The Islanders shot 45.2% from the field and controlled the boards with 45 rebounds, led by guard Mardrez Gibson’s 19 points. Gibson’s perimeter scoring and leadership showed how the Islanders played in half-court sets. The Islanders also shared the ball effectively with 19 assists, a sign that ball movement could challenge SMU’s defense.

SMU Preview

SMU comes in fresh off a strong offensive showing in its win over Tarleton State, powered by Jaron Pierre Jr., who scored 21 points on 55.6% shooting. The Mustangs hit 56% of their field goals overall and dropped 96 points, showing strong spacing and shooting from the start. The 6 steals in the game highlight an aggressive, fast-paced approach that puts pressure on opposing guards. Pierre’s scoring punch, combined with multiple double-digit scorers, gives SMU one of the most versatile offensive rotations in the AAC.

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs SMU Prediction

SMU’s ability to control tempo will be key. The Mustangs averaged 71.3 points allowed per game last season, but early signs suggest improvement in that area. The Islanders’ rebounding could test SMU’s smaller lineup, yet the Mustangs’ athleticism and transition speed make them difficult to slow down at home.

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Prediction: SMU’s balanced attack and home-court advantage will result in a Mustangs’ win. Expect the Mustangs to pull away late behind consistent shooting and forced turnovers.

Final Score Prediction: SMU 88, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 67

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Best Picks:

  • SMU -20.5 (Spread)
  • Over 153.5 Total Points
  • Jaron Pierre Jr. Over 17.5 Points
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