Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona State Sun Devils Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, February 17, 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 02/17/2026, 12:30 AM ET
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Texas Tech travels to Tempe to face Arizona State on Tuesday night at Desert Financial Arena. The Red Raiders are 19-6 overall and sit third in the Big 12 with a 9-3 conference record after a 78-75 overtime win at Arizona. Arizona State is 13-12 overall and stands 11th in the Big 12 at 4-8 following an 85-76 win over Oklahoma State. Cash a winning ticket with our free college basketball picks.

Game Information

  • Date: Tuesday, February 17
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Location: Desert Financial Arena (Tempe, AZ)
  • TV: ESPN2

Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview

Texas Tech averages 82.0 points per game while allowing an average of 72.4. JT Toppin leads the nation’s most physical frontcourts with averages of 21.9 points and 11.0 rebounds per game while shooting 55.3% from the field. Christian Anderson adds 19.1 points and leads the team with an average of 7.7 assists per game, giving the Red Raiders a strong inside-out combination.

Donovan Atwell is the second perimeter scoring option at 12.5 points per game and shoots 44.6% from three. Texas Tech shoots 46% as a team and averages 16.1 assists per contest. Anderson leads with 1.4 steals per game, and Toppin anchors the paint with 1.6 blocks. Federiko Hoover is out.

Key Stats - Per Game

  • Points: 82.0
  • Points Allowed: 72.4
  • Field Goal %: 46%
  • Rebounds: 37.7
  • Assists: 16.1
  • Steals: 6.4
  • Blocks: 3.5
  • Turnovers: 10.5

Arizona State Sun Devils Preview

Arizona State averages 78.7 points per game but allows 79.2, which puts the pressure on the Sun Devils’ offense to produce in each possession. Maurice Odum leads the Sun Devils with averages of 17.0 points and 6.0 assists per game, while Massamba Diop adds 13.9 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks. Anthony Johnson is the third-leading scorer at 13.2 points per game.

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The Sun Devils shoot 45% from the field and average 14.0 assists. Noah Meeusen leads the team with 1.5 steals per game. Defensive consistency has been an issue, particularly against elite frontcourts. Marcus Adams Jr., Adam Holiman, Basheer Icitovic, Shawn Wallace, Quentin McCoy, and Kash Polk are out. Trevor Best is questionable.

Key Stats - Per Game

  • Points: 78.7
  • Points Allowed: 79.2
  • Field Goal %: 45%
  • Rebounds: 33.3
  • Assists: 14.0
  • Steals: 7.2
  • Blocks: 4.6
  • Turnovers: 11.4

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction

Texas Tech, with Toppin leading the way, has a far superior frontcourt at both ends against a Sun Devils defense that allows nearly 80 points per game. The Red Raiders also protect the ball better and have a stronger defense, holding opponents to 72.4 points per contest. Arizona State relies heavily on Odum, but Texas Tech’s length and rebounding advantage will control tempo, give the Red Raiders plenty of second-chance opportunities, and result in a double-digit win. Final Score Prediction: Texas Tech Red Raiders win and cover ATS, 87-71.

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