Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026
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The Toledo Rockets travel to Bowling Green to face the Bowling Green Falcons on Saturday afternoon. Toledo is 13-12 overall and sits tied for third place in the MAC at 7-5, coming off a 90-79 road win over Western Michigan after dropping two of its previous three. Bowling Green enters at 15-10 overall and is currently tied for fifth place in the conference at 6-6, most recently defeating Northern Illinois 68-52 following a stretch of three losses in four games. Cash in with our free college basketball picks.
Game Information
- Date: Saturday, February 14
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Location: Stroh Center, Bowling Green, OH
- Where to Watch: ESPN+
Toledo Rockets Preview
Toledo is averaging 81.3 points per game and allowing 77.5, relying on scoring to offset defensive mistakes. Sonny Wilson leads the Rockets, averaging 17.2 points per game and adds 4.7 assists. Leroy Blyden Jr. (16.0 ppg, 4.0 apg) gives them a second scoring option and playmaker, and Sean Craig (7.7 rpg) provides steady rebounding at both ends.
The Rockets can swing games with defense, posting 7.7 steals per game while keeping turnovers lower than many opponents at 10.7 per contest. Austin Parks adds interior production (11.5 ppg, 5.3 rpg) and rim presence with 1.4 blocks per game, but Toledo’s lack of defense has allowed opponents to hang around. Toledo does not have any players on its injury report.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 81.3
- Points Allowed: 77.5
- Rebounds: 33.8
- Assists: 15.8
- Steals: 7.7
- Blocks: 3.1
- Turnovers: 10.7
Bowling Green Falcons Preview
Bowling Green is scoring 82.4 points per game while allowing 70.2, using a strong offense with a defense that consistently limits clean looks. Javontae Campbell leads the Falcons with an average of 18.5 points per game, and his all-around impact shows up with averages of 5.0 assists and a MAC-best 3.3 steals per game. Sam Towns adds 12.0 points and 6.5 rebounds, giving Bowling Green reliable work on the glass.
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The Falcons pressure the ball aggressively, averaging 10.8 steals per game. Bowling Green has plenty of scoring options, including Josiah Shackelford (11.9 ppg) and Mayar Wol (11.6 ppg). Bowling Green does not have any players on its injury report.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 82.4
- Points Allowed: 70.2
- Rebounds: 36.0
- Assists: 14.8
- Steals: 10.8
- Blocks: 3.5
- Turnovers: 11.9
Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction
Bowling Green’s defensive numbers, including steals, create the clearest advantage in this matchup. Campbell’s scoring and playmaking will carry the offense, while the Falcons’ pressure will force Toledo into tougher shot selections, especially against a defense allowing just 70.2 points per game. Toledo can score with Wilson and Blyden, but Bowling Green’s ability to generate steals and control the boards will be the difference makers. Final Score Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons win and cover the spread, 84-76.
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