Troy vs Cal State Northridge Picks and Prediction for Sunday, November 16, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 11/16/2025, 12:30 AM ET
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Troy heads to Northridge looking to bounce back from a road loss to Loyola Marymount. The Trojans sit at 3-1 and have already shown they can travel well with two road wins. Cal State Northridge returns home at 2-2 after a tough stretch of three straight road games, and this will be a good test for both offenses. Troy brings the stronger numbers through four games with 87.8 points per game on 48.6 percent shooting, while Northridge is trying to stabilize after an inconsistent start. Big board, bigger value โ€” see our winning college basketball predictions.

Tipoff is set for 8:00 PM ET at Premier America Credit Union Arena with coverage on ESPN+. Troy enters the matchup with the higher scoring average, better assist numbers, and more steals per game. Northridge holds the edge on the glass at 45.8 rebounds per game and has a physical inside presence. Both teams come in off losses and want to reestablish their games.

Troy Preview

Troy relies on Cooper Campbell, who has been excellent at 16.5 points, 5.3 assists, and 2.8 steals while shooting 61.1 percent from the field and 52.6 percent from three. His ability to control tempo and get into the paint fuels an offense that spreads the floor with multiple shooters. Victor Valdes adds 15.0 points on 48.7 percent shooting, giving Troy a second perimeter threat. Thomas Dowd anchors the interior with 13.8 points and 9.8 rebounds per game, and his work on the boards has been reliable through all four contests. The Trojansโ€™ balanced scoring, 18.3 assists per game, and heavy pressure in passing lanes help them generate easy transition points.ย Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on Troy.

Cal State Northridge Preview

Cal State Northridge counters with a strong scoring tandem led by Larry Hughes II at 18.8 points on 54.2 percent shooting and a blistering 51.6 percent from deep. Hughes has been the most efficient scorer and gives CSUN a chance to match Troyโ€™s perimeter production. Joshua Oโ€™Garro adds 13.0 points and 9.8 rebounds, providing toughness inside and a major presence on the offensive glass. Josiah Davis chips in 11.8 points and 5.8 assists, but also averages 6.5 turnovers, an issue against a Troy team that takes the ball away 12.5 times per game. Northridge has shot 42.6 percent overall while giving up nearly identical scoring to what they produce. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Cal State Northride with the Kickr promo code.

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Troy vs Cal State Northridge Prediction

The matchup tilts toward Troy because of superior ball movement, more reliable shooting, and better guard play. Northridge has the rebounding edge but gives up too many transition opportunities, and Troy has enough scoring options to keep pressure on the Matadors throughout. The Trojans have shown consistency across four games, while CSUNโ€™s swings in efficiency make them harder to trust. Make sure when you place your bet on Troy vs Cal State Northridge you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Prediction: Troy 82, Cal State Northridge 75

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