UC Davis Aggies vs Cal State Fullerton Titans Picks and Predictions for Thursday March 12 2026
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The UC Davis Aggies face the Cal State Fullerton Titans in the Big West Championship Quarterfinal on Thursday, March 12, 2026, at Lee's Family Forum in Henderson, Nevada. Tip-off is scheduled for 11:30 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.
Aggies Carry Momentum Into Quarterfinal
UC Davis enters this matchup with a 19-13 overall record and an 11-9 mark in Big West play this season. The Aggies advanced to the quarterfinal round after recently winning over UC Santa Barbara 79-73 in the first round of the Big West Championship. Over their last five games, UC Davis has recently won over UC Santa Barbara, Long Beach State, and UC Riverside, while recently losing to UC Irvine and Hawaii.
The Aggies have been a balanced offensive team throughout the season, averaging 77.8 points per game while allowing 74.9 points per contest. UC Davis is shooting 45% from the field and averaging 33.3 rebounds and 15.7 assists per game. Defensively, the Aggies contribute 8.0 steals and 2.8 blocks per game, using active perimeter defense to create transition scoring opportunities.
In their opening-round victory over UC Santa Barbara, UC Davis shot 48% from the field and controlled the game offensively in the second half. Carl Daughtery Jr. led the Aggies with 24 points, providing a major scoring boost, while Isaiah Chappell grabbed 9 rebounds to anchor the interior. With a quick turnaround in tournament play, UC Davis will look to build on that shooting efficiency and maintain its defensive intensity to keep pressure on the Titans.
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Titans Enter Fresh After First-Round Bye
Cal State Fullerton enters the quarterfinals with a 17-15 overall record and a 12-8 record in Big West play, earning a first-round bye in the conference tournament. Over their last five games, the Titans have recently won over Cal State Northridge, UC San Diego, Cal State Bakersfield, and UC Davis, while recently losing to Hawaii.
The Titans have been one of the more explosive scoring teams in the Big West this season, averaging 83.7 points per game while allowing 82.2 points per contest. Cal State Fullerton shoots 46% from the field and averages 35.1 rebounds and 16.5 assists per game, while producing 8.1 steals and 2.9 blocks per game on the defensive side.
In their most recent game, a 90-77 win over Cal State Northridge, the Titans showcased their offensive firepower. Christian Williams led the team with 23 points, while also contributing 6 rebounds to lead the team on the glass. Fullerton knocked down 18 three-pointers and shot 45% from the field, a sign of how dangerous their perimeter attack can be when the offense gets rolling.
UC Davis Aggies vs Cal State Fullerton Titans Pick
UC Davis Aggies vs Cal State Fullerton Titans Spread Pick
- Pick: UC Davis Aggies Moneyline
UC Davis already has tournament momentum after its first-round win, and that confidence can be valuable in conference tournament settings. The Aggies showed strong offensive balance and defensive pressure against UC Santa Barbara, and they have proven capable of slowing down opposing offenses with their active perimeter defense. While Fullerton has the more explosive offense, UC Davis has the potential to control tempo and limit scoring runs.
UC Davis Aggies vs Cal State Fullerton Titans Total Pick
- Pick: Over
I like the over in this matchup because both teams play at a fast pace and have shown the ability to score consistently throughout the season. Cal State Fullerton averages over 83 points per game and just put up 90 points in its last outing, while UC Davis has been efficient offensively and shot nearly 50% from the field in its opening-round win. With both teams capable of pushing the tempo and creating scoring opportunities, I expect a high-scoring quarterfinal matchup.
Final Score Prediction: UC Davis Aggies 84, Cal State Fullerton Titans 81
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