UC Davis Aggies vs Cal State Northridge Matadors Picks and Predictions for Thursday January 29 2026
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The UC Davis Aggies travel to Premier America Credit Union Arena to take on the Cal State Northridge Matadors on Thursday night, January 29, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM, and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. UC Davis enters the matchup as a slight road favorite at -112 on the moneyline, while Cal State Northridge is listed at -108. The total is set at 164.5 points with both the over and under priced at -110, and UC Davis is favored by 1.5 points. Before breaking down the matchup, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more NCAA basketball betting insight.
Aggies Looking to Stay Consistent Away from Home
UC Davis comes into this matchup with a 12-8 overall record and has played competitive basketball on the road this season. The Aggies have gone 3-2 over their last five games, recently picking up wins over UC Riverside, UC Irvine, and Cal State Fullerton, while suffering losses to UC San Diego and Cal Poly.
Offensively, UC Davis is averaging 79.7 points per game while allowing 75.5 points per game. They shoot 46% from the field and play an efficient style that emphasizes ball movement and spacing to create quality looks.
One area where the Aggies stand out is their ability to share the ball and force turnovers. UC Davis averages 16.5 assists per game and 7.8 steals, allowing them to dictate tempo and generate extra possessions, especially in competitive conference matchups.
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Matadors Hoping to Defend Home Court
Cal State Northridge enters Thursday night with an 11-10 overall record and will look to take advantage of playing at home. The Matadors have split their last five games, recently earning wins over UC San Diego and Cal Poly, while dropping games to Hawaii, Long Beach State, and Cal State Fullerton.
The Matadors are averaging 80.4 points per game but are allowing 80.1 points per contest, making them one of the higher-scoring yet more vulnerable defensive teams in the conference. They shoot 44% from the field and rely heavily on rebounding and second-chance opportunities.
Rebounding is a clear strength for Cal State Northridge. The Matadors average 41.8 rebounds per game, which helps offset defensive inefficiencies and allows them to remain competitive even when shots are not falling consistently.
UC Davis Aggies vs Cal State Northridge Matadors Pick
Aggies vs Matadors Pick
- UC Davis -1.5
UC Davis’ efficiency, ball movement, and defensive pressure give them a slight edge in this matchup. While Cal State Northridge is strong on the glass, the Aggies’ ability to force turnovers and control tempo makes them the more reliable side in a tight contest.
Aggies vs Matadors Total Pick
- Under 164.5
I’m taking the under here. While both teams can score, this total is inflated, and UC Davis tends to play more controlled basketball. If the Aggies dictate pace and limit transition opportunities, this game is more likely to stay below the number.
Final Score Prediction:UC Davis Aggies 82, Cal State Northridge Matadors 78
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