UC San Diego Tritons vs UC Davis Aggies Picks and Predictions for Thursday January 22 2026
The UC San Diego Tritons travel to the University Credit Union Center to take on the UC Davis Aggies on Thursday, January 22, 2026, with tipoff scheduled for 9:00 PM EST. This Big West Conference matchup will be televised on ESPN+. UC San Diego is listed as the road favorite at -148 on the moneyline, while UC Davis’ moneyline odds were not released at the time of this writing. The total is set at 153.5 points with both the Over and Under priced at -110, and UC San Diego is favored by 2.5 points. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily NCAA basketball betting insights.
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Tritons Looking to Control the Tempo on the Road
The UC San Diego Tritons come into this matchup with a strong 14-5 overall record and have shown consistency away from home this season. Over their last five games, the Tritons have recently won over Cal State Bakersfield, UC Riverside, and Hawaii, while suffering losses to Cal State Northridge and Cal State Fullerton, showing some volatility against conference rivals.
From a statistical standpoint, UC San Diego is averaging 80.3 points per game while allowing just 71.4 points per contest. They shoot an efficient 48% from the field and grab 36.9 rebounds per game, allowing them to dictate pace with balanced scoring and solid defensive execution.
One area where the Tritons stand out is efficiency on both ends of the floor. UC San Diego combines high-percentage shooting with disciplined defense, limiting opponents’ quality looks and avoiding extended scoring droughts that can swing momentum.
Aggies Aiming to Defend Home Court
The UC Davis Aggies enter Thursday night with an 11-7 overall record and have been competitive at home this season. In their last five games, UC Davis has recently won over UC Irvine, Cal State Fullerton, and UC Santa Barbara, while dropping games to Cal Poly and Cal State Bakersfield, highlighting their ability to trade blows with quality competition.
Statistically, the Aggies are also averaging 80.3 points per game but are allowing 75.8 points per contest. They shoot 47% from the field and average 16.3 assists per game, showing a willingness to move the ball and push the tempo when opportunities present themselves.
UC Davis’ biggest strength lies in their offensive balance. With multiple scoring options and solid perimeter play, the Aggies can keep pressure on opposing defenses, particularly when playing in a familiar home environment. 
UC San Diego Tritons vs UC Davis Aggies Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Joe Duffy | +1,910.00 |
| 2 |  Steve Seagrave | +1,460.00 |
| 3 |  Sean Higgs | +1,338.00 |
| 4 |  Bryan Power | +905.00 |
| 5 |  Ben Burns | +519.00 |
UC San Diego Tritons vs UC Davis Aggies Pick
- Pick: UC San Diego -2.5
UC San Diego gets the edge in this matchup due to their superior defensive metrics and overall efficiency. While UC Davis is capable offensively, the Tritons’ ability to limit scoring runs and control tempo gives them a clear advantage in what should be a competitive conference game.
UC San Diego Tritons vs UC Davis Aggies Total Pick
- Pick: Under 153.5
I’m leaning toward the Under in this matchup because UC San Diego prefers a controlled pace and plays strong half-court defense. Even though both teams can score, the Tritons’ ability to slow games down and limit easy transition looks makes this total feel slightly inflated.
Final Score Prediction: UC San Diego 78, UC Davis 72
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