UMass Lowell Riverhawks vs UMBC Retrievers Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 10 2026
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The UMass Lowell Riverhawks and UMBC Retrievers meet in the America East Playoffs - Semifinal on Tuesday, March 10, 2026, at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, Maryland. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on ESPN+. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more betting analysis and daily college basketball predictions.
River Hawks Hoping to Continue Their Postseason Push
UMass Lowell enters the semifinal matchup with a 15-17 overall record and a 9-7 mark in America East play. The River Hawks advanced to this round of the tournament with an 81-76 win over UAlbany in the quarterfinals. In their last five games, UMass Lowell has recently won over UAlbany, Maine, and Binghamton, while recently losing to UMBC and Vermont, showing mixed results as the team heads into the semifinal.
The River Hawks have been a solid offensive team throughout the season. UMass Lowell averages 75.1 points per game while allowing 75.8 points per contest. The team shoots 46% from the field, averages 37.5 rebounds per game, and distributes 12.7 assists per contest. Defensively, the River Hawks contribute 3.1 blocks and 5.3 steals per game, relying on rebounding and interior defense to stay competitive.
One key tournament angle for UMass Lowell is the strong performance it received from its leading scorer in the quarterfinal victory. In the 81-76 win over UAlbany, Angel Montas Jr. scored 28 points while also leading the team with 7 rebounds, showing his ability to impact the game in multiple ways. The River Hawks also shot 47% from the field and 43% from three-point range, displaying offensive efficiency that will be crucial against a disciplined UMBC defense.
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UMBC Looking to Defend Home Court
UMBC enters the semifinal with a 22-8 overall record and an impressive 14-2 record in America East play. The Retrievers advanced to this matchup with an 84-69 win over New Hampshire in the quarterfinals. Over their last five games, UMBC has recently won over New Hampshire, NJIT, UMass Lowell, Bryant, and Albany, bringing a five-game winning streak into the semifinal.
The Retrievers have been one of the most balanced teams in the conference this season. UMBC averages 75.8 points per game while allowing just 67.2 points per contest, making them one of the stronger defensive teams in the league. The team shoots 47% from the field, averages 35.5 rebounds, and records 12.3 assists per game. Defensively, UMBC adds 2.5 blocks and 4.9 steals per contest, consistently forcing opponents into tough offensive possessions.
The biggest takeaway from UMBC’s quarterfinal performance was its offensive efficiency and strong guard play. In the 84-69 win over New Hampshire, Ace Valentine led the Retrievers with 23 points, while also leading the team with 5 rebounds. UMBC shot 51% from the field and 46% from three-point range, while committing only seven turnovers, showing a disciplined offensive approach that could be difficult for UMass Lowell to match.
UMass Lowell Riverhawks vs UMBC Retrievers Pick
UMass Lowell Riverhawks vs UMBC Retrievers Spread Pick
- Pick: UMBC Retrievers moneyline
UMBC enters this game as the more consistent and balanced team. The Retrievers have the stronger defense, allowing just 67.2 points per game, and they recently defeated UMass Lowell by a wide margin in late February. Playing at home should also give UMBC a significant advantage, especially in a postseason setting where crowd energy can make a difference.
UMass Lowell Riverhawks vs UMBC Retrievers Total Pick
- Pick: Over
I like the over in this matchup because both teams have shown the ability to score efficiently. UMass Lowell averages 75.1 points per game, while UMBC averages 75.8 points per contest, and both teams shot well in their quarterfinal victories. With offensive momentum on both sides, this game has the potential to turn into a high-scoring semifinal.
Final Score Prediction: UMBC Retrievers 80, UMass Lowell Riverhawks 72
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