Utah State Aggies vs. Fresno State Bulldogs Picks and Predictions for Tuesday December 30 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 12/30/2025, 02:20 AM ET

Utah State and Fresno State meet Tuesday night in Mountain West play, with the Aggies carrying early conference momentum into a difficult road matchup. Utah State is 10-1 overall and already looks like one of the conference’s most consistent teams, while Fresno State sits at 6-6 and is searching for stability after a rough stretch. The matchup tips at 9:00 PM Eastern Time from the Save Mart Center, with the Bulldogs trying to defend home court against one of the hottest teams in the conference. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Utah State Preview

Utah State has built its record on offensive balance and shooting. The Aggies are averaging 85.9 points per game while shooting 52 percent from the field, numbers that immediately jump off the page. MJ Collins Jr. leads the way at 20.1 points per game on nearly 57 percent shooting, giving Utah State a reliable scorer who does not waste possessions. The Aggies also move the ball well, averaging 18.9 assists per game, which shows up in how often they get clean looks inside the arc.

Utah State’s recent form supports those season-long numbers. The Aggies have won four of the last five games, including a dominant 100-58 win over Colorado State and a 79-53 road win at Charlotte. That stretch shows Utah State can score efficiently and control games away from home. Rebounding has also been steady at 36.7 per game, helping limit second chances and keep tempo under control.

Fresno State Preview

Fresno State enters this matchup in a much different place. The Bulldogs are averaging 76.1 points per game while allowing 72.5, and shooting has been inconsistent at 46 percent from the field. Jake Heidbreder leads the offense with 18.3 points per game, while Zaon Collins adds 14.8 points and a team-high 5.3 assists. Fresno State can score in spurts, but turnovers and shot selection have hurt during close games.

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The recent results are concerning for Fresno State. The Bulldogs have lost four of the last five games, including road losses to UNLV and CSUN and a home loss to Arkansas by 24 points. Fresno State has struggled to slow down efficient offenses, especially teams that share the ball and attack inside. Rebounding for Fresno State is also slightly behind Utah State at 35.5 per game, which matters against an Aggies team that knows how to finish possessions.

Fresno State vs Utah State Prediction

The matchup favors Utah State in several key areas, particularly shooting, ball movement, and recent form. Fresno State’s home court helps, but the Bulldogs have not shown the consistency needed to slow a balanced opponent. Utah State should be able to control the pace, get quality looks, and wear Fresno State down over 40 minutes.

Prediction: Utah State wins 82-72.

Best Pick: Utah State to cover the spread and the game total leaning under based on Utah State’s ability to control tempo late.

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