Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 3 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/03/2026, 01:05 AM ET
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The Vanderbilt Commodores travel to Oxford to face the Ole Miss Rebels on Tuesday, March 3, 2026. Tip-off is set for 9:00 PM at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss, and the game will be televised on SECN+. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. For more plays across tonight’s card, be sure to check out our latest free college basketball picks for additional expert analysis.

Commodores Relying on Elite Offense

Vanderbilt enters this matchup at 22-7 overall and 9-7 in SEC play. The Commodores recently lost at Kentucky 91-77 but earned wins over Georgia 88-80 and Texas A&M 82-69. They also dropped close games to Tennessee 69-65 and Missouri 81-80. Vanderbilt has been competitive in nearly every conference contest.

Offensively, the Commodores are averaging 86.9 points per game while allowing 74.5 points per contest. They shoot 48% from the field and grab 35.7 rebounds per game. Vanderbilt also averages 16.6 assists per contest, highlighting strong ball movement and offensive balance.

Defensively, Vanderbilt averages 8.2 steals and 4.9 blocks per game. Their activity on the defensive end creates transition opportunities, which has fueled their high-scoring style. When Vanderbilt controls tempo, they are extremely difficult to slow down.

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Rebels Fighting to Stay Competitive

Ole Miss comes into this contest at 12-17 overall and 4-12 in SEC play. The Rebels recently picked up an 85-79 win at Auburn but have otherwise struggled, losing to LSU 106-99 in double overtime, Florida 94-75, Texas A&M 80-77, and Mississippi State 90-78. Defense has been a major concern.

The Rebels are averaging 75.4 points per game while allowing 75.9 points per contest. They shoot 44% from the field and pull down 34.0 rebounds per game. Ole Miss averages 13.9 assists per contest, showing decent offensive flow but lacking consistency.

Defensively, Ole Miss averages 6.9 steals and 4.2 blocks per game. However, giving up nearly 76 points per game has made it difficult to string together wins. Against a high-powered Vanderbilt offense, limiting transition opportunities will be key.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels Pick

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels Pick

  • Pick: Vanderbilt Commodores - Spread

Vanderbilt’s offensive efficiency and scoring depth give them a clear edge in this matchup. Ole Miss has struggled defensively, especially against strong offensive teams. I expect Vanderbilt to push tempo and create separation late.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Ole Miss Rebels Total Pick

  • Pick: Over (if total is set at 155 or lower)

Both teams average over 75 points per game, and Vanderbilt alone nearly reaches 87 per contest. With Ole Miss capable of scoring at home and both defenses allowing plenty of points, I expect a high-scoring SEC battle. I’m leaning toward the over.

Final Score Prediction: Vanderbilt 88, Ole Miss 79

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