Wright State vs Virginia Picks and Predictions for Friday March 20 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/20/2026, 12:30 AM ET
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The Wright State Raiders and Virginia Cavaliers will face off on Friday, March 20, 2026, at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Tip-off is scheduled for 1:50 PM ET with television coverage on TBS. Virginia enters this matchup as a -2800 favorite with a total set at 145.5 and a spread of Virginia -18.5. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert predictions and daily betting insights.

Raiders Riding Momentum into a Tough Test

Wright State enters this game with a 23-11 overall record and has been competitive away from home this season. In their last five games, the Raiders have recently won over Detroit Mercy, Northern Kentucky, Cleveland State, Northern Kentucky again, and Purdue Fort Wayne, showing strong momentum entering the tournament.

Offensively, Wright State averages 80.7 points per game while allowing 73.4 points per contest. They shoot an efficient 49% from the field and collect 35.4 rebounds per game while adding 13.8 assists per contest. Defensively, they contribute 7.4 steals and 4.4 blocks per game.

The Raidersโ€™ biggest strength is their scoring efficiency and ability to finish possessions. Their strong shooting percentage allows them to stay competitive, but they will need to handle Virginiaโ€™s defensive pressure.

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Cavaliers Lean on Defense and Discipline

Virginia comes into this matchup with a 29-5 record and has been strong on neutral courts this season. In their last five games, the Cavaliers have recently lost to Duke but picked up wins over Miami, NC State, Virginia Tech, and Wake Forest, showing consistency despite a recent setback.

The Cavaliers average 80.6 points per game while allowing just 68.4 points per contest. They shoot 46% from the field and dominate the boards with 40.2 rebounds per game while adding 16.6 assists per contest. Defensively, they are elite with 6.5 blocks and 6.4 steals per game.

Virginiaโ€™s key strength is their defensive structure and ability to control tempo. They slow the game down, limit possessions, and force opponents into inefficient offensive sets.

Wright State vs Virginia Pick

Wright State vs Virginia Spread Pick

  • Virginia -18.5

Virginiaโ€™s defensive discipline and ability to control tempo should create problems for Wright State. The Cavaliers are likely to dictate the pace and gradually build a comfortable lead, making them the stronger side to cover the spread.

Wright State vs Virginia Total Pick

  • Under 145.5

I like the under in this game because Virginia typically slows games down and limits scoring opportunities. With their defensive approach and methodical pace, this game is likely to stay below the total.

Final Score Prediction: Virginia 74, Wright State 55

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