Xavier Musketeers vs St. John’s Red Storm Picks and Predictions for Monday February 9 2026
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The Xavier Musketeers travel to New York to take on the St. John’s Red Storm on Monday night at Madison Square Garden, with tipoff scheduled for 6:30 PM ET. This Big East matchup will be televised nationally on FS1. At the time of this writing, the moneyline, total, and spread had not been released. For more insight and betting angles across the board, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks before placing any wagers.
Musketeers Searching for Stability on the Road
Xavier enters this matchup with a 12-11 overall record and has struggled away from home this season. The Musketeers have dropped four of their last five games, most recently losing at UConn, falling at Seton Hall, losing at Creighton, and coming up short against St. John’s, with their lone recent win coming at home over DePaul.
From a statistical standpoint, Xavier is averaging 76.8 points per game while allowing 77.7 points per contest, numbers that reflect a team often forced into higher-tempo, higher-scoring games. They are shooting 44% from the field and pulling down 34.4 rebounds per game, while their assist rate of 18.0 per game shows a willingness to move the ball offensively.
One area where Xavier can create problems is with activity and length. The Musketeers average 7.0 steals and 4.2 blocks per game, which can help them disrupt passing lanes and generate transition opportunities, especially if they are able to speed up the pace against a confident St. John’s offense.
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Red Storm Rolling with Confidence at Home
St. John’s comes into this contest playing some of its best basketball of the season, sitting at 18-5 overall and thriving in marquee settings like Madison Square Garden. The Red Storm have won five straight games, most recently picking up victories over UConn, DePaul, Butler, Xavier, and Seton Hall.
Offensively, St. John’s has been one of the more efficient teams in the conference, averaging 84.4 points per game while holding opponents to just 71.8 points per contest. They are shooting 46% from the floor and controlling the glass with 38.2 rebounds per game, giving them consistent second-chance opportunities.
Defensively, the Red Storm bring relentless pressure. They average 8.1 steals and 4.9 blocks per game, using their athleticism to force turnovers and turn defense into offense. That ability to create easy points has been a key factor in their recent winning streak and makes them especially dangerous against teams that struggle with ball security.
Xavier Musketeers vs St. John’s Red Storm Pick
Xavier Musketeers vs St. John’s Red Storm Spread Pick
- St. John’s Red Storm -Spread
St. John’s has already proven they can handle Xavier, and the matchup still favors the Red Storm. Their ability to force turnovers, dominate the glass, and score efficiently should allow them to control the tempo, especially in a neutral-but-familiar environment like Madison Square Garden. Xavier’s recent road struggles only reinforce the edge for the home side here.
Xavier Musketeers vs St. John’s Red Storm Total Pick
- Over the Total
I’m leaning toward the over in this matchup. St. John’s prefers to play fast and capitalize on transition opportunities, while Xavier’s defensive inconsistencies often push games into higher-scoring territory. With both teams capable of creating turnovers and quick scoring chances, this sets up well for points on the board.
Final Score Prediction:
St. John’s Red Storm 86, Xavier Musketeers 75
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