Yale Bulldogs vs Penn Quakers Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 15 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/15/2026, 01:00 AM ET
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The Pennsylvania Quakers and Yale Bulldogs meet in the Ivy League Tournament pres. by TIAA Final on Sunday afternoon at Newman Arena in Ithaca, New York. Tipoff is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN2. Yale enters the championship game with a 24-5 overall record while Penn comes in at 17-11 after an overtime semifinal victory. According to the latest odds from DraftKings, Yale is favored by 9.5 points with a total of 142.5, and the moneyline lists Yale at -485 while Penn sits at +370. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert analysis and predictions on today’s college basketball action.

Penn Quakers Hoping to Continue Tournament Run

Penn enters the Ivy League Tournament final with a 17-11 overall record and a 9-5 mark in Ivy League play. The Quakers advanced to the championship game after recently winning over Harvard 62-60 in overtime in the semifinal round. In their recent stretch of games, Penn has recently won over Harvard twice, recently won over Brown, recently won over Dartmouth, and recently lost to Yale. That loss to the Bulldogs late in the regular season shows how difficult this matchup may be, but Penn has been playing confident basketball during this winning streak.

From a statistical standpoint, Penn has been solid offensively throughout the season. The Quakers average 76.2 points per game while allowing 72.9 points per game defensively. They shoot 44 percent from the field, collect 36.6 rebounds per game, and average 13.9 assists per contest while forcing turnovers with 6.8 steals per game. Penn also contributes 3.1 blocks per game, showing the ability to defend inside when needed. Overall, the Quakers have been balanced on both ends of the floor, though they will be facing one of the most efficient offenses in the conference.

In the semifinal victory over Harvard, TJ Power led the Quakers with 16 points and also grabbed 12 rebounds, delivering a double-double performance in the overtime win. His presence on the glass helped Penn overcome a rebounding deficit and keep possessions alive in a tight game. The Quakers will now have a short turnaround after playing an overtime contest, which could be a key factor in the final. If Power and Penn can control the boards again and limit turnovers, they may be able to slow the pace and keep this game competitive.

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Yale Bulldogs Eye Ivy League Championship

Yale enters the championship game with an impressive 24-5 overall record and an 11-3 conference mark, establishing themselves as one of the most consistent teams in the Ivy League this season. The Bulldogs advanced to the final after recently winning over Cornell 88-76 in the semifinal round. Over their last five games, Yale has recently won over Cornell twice, recently won over Princeton, recently won over Columbia, and recently lost to Cornell earlier in the stretch.

The Bulldogs have been one of the most efficient teams in the Ivy League offensively. Yale averages 81.5 points per game while allowing just 70.4 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot an impressive 50 percent from the field, demonstrating strong shot selection and offensive execution. They average 34.9 rebounds and 16.0 assists per game, showing excellent ball movement and team chemistry. On defense, Yale produces 3.1 blocks and 5.5 steals per game, helping them limit opposing scoring opportunities.

Yale’s semifinal performance against Cornell highlighted just how explosive this offense can be. Isaac Celiscar led the Bulldogs with 27 points and also pulled down 6 rebounds, delivering a dominant performance while shooting efficiently from the field. His scoring ability helped Yale shoot 55 percent from the field in that victory. With strong offensive rhythm coming into the championship game and a deeper rotation than Penn, the Bulldogs appear well-positioned to handle the quick turnaround and maintain their offensive efficiency.

Penn Quakers vs Yale Bulldogs Pick

Penn Quakers vs Yale Bulldogs Spread Pick

  • Yale Bulldogs -9.5

Yale enters this game as the clear favorite and for good reason. The Bulldogs have been one of the most efficient offensive teams in the Ivy League and are coming off a dominant semifinal performance where they shot 55 percent from the field. Penn had to play an overtime game in the semifinal, which could lead to fatigue in this championship matchup. Yale also defeated Penn earlier in the season, and their offensive depth combined with their defensive efficiency should allow them to control the pace. With the Bulldogs playing with confidence and momentum, laying the points with Yale is the best option.

Penn Quakers vs Yale Bulldogs Total Pick

  • Over 142.5

I like the over in this matchup because Yale plays at a fast offensive pace and consistently scores above 80 points per game. The Bulldogs have shown they can shoot efficiently against Ivy League opponents, and their semifinal performance demonstrated just how dangerous their offense can be when they get into rhythm. Penn also averages over 76 points per game and has enough offensive capability to contribute to the scoring. With Yale pushing the tempo and Penn likely needing to keep up offensively, this game has a good chance to climb past the posted total.

Final Score Prediction: Yale Bulldogs 82, Penn Quakers 70

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