Arizona State vs Texas Tech Picks and Predictions for Saturday October 17 2026
Texas Tech is playing host to the Arizona State Sun Devils on Saturday at 3:30 PM EST. However, the big news in this game is not the fact that the game is being played at Galaxy Stadium in Lubbock or that the Big 12 matchup is on Fox, it is the weather. When the kickoff is happening, the weather in Texas in October is predicted to have the possibility of rain showers and a temperature of only 56 degrees. Coming to the game here, though the Red Raiders are sitting at 12.5 point favorites, but the line is sitting at -110 for both teams including the Sun Devils +12.5. The total is sitting at 50.5 points in the game. Check out all of our free college football picks.
Arizona State Face A Difficult Road Test
The Sun Devils head to this game here with a 3-2 mark on the season. The last game for the Sun Devils ended up being a 30-12 home win over the Hawaii team. That win was coming off of a blowout loss against the Baylor Bears that seen the Sun Devils defensive collapse giving up 55 points with an offense that only ended up getting 19 points scored. The lone road game for Arizona State on the season with a 48-20 loss against Texas A&M.
Offensively Arizona State has ended up getting 32.6 points game socred. The offense has picked up a total of 421.4 yards per game, but have ended up getting 256 yards per game in the air and 165.4 yards per game on the ground. The defensive struggles have been serious issues for Arizona State giving up 27.8 points per game.
Now, one thing that can be seen as a major issue is the offensive points total is heavily skewered. That comes off of a 70 point offensive explosion to open the season against Morgan State. With that outlier removed the true points per game for the Sun Devils is sitting at only 23.25 points per game. A major concern for the defensive ability of Arizona State is the fact that in only 2 games the Texas A&M and Baylor games the Sun Devils gave up 103 points.
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Texas Tech Bring An Unbeaten Record To Homecoming
Texas Tech is coming to this game after getting a bye week. However, that does not change the fact the the Red Raiders are 5-0 on the season so far. The last game for the Red Raiders was a 29-7 win on the road over the Colorado Buffaloes. Now, while the moneyline run for Texas Tech is 5-0, the ATS picks for the Red Raiders has been an issue with a 2-3 mark.
Offensively the Red Raiders have looked impressive at times with a total of 34.6 points per game score, but unlike the Arizona State team the Red Raiders do not have any major points outliers. The Texas Tech team has ended up getting 227.4 yards per game in the air and 179.2 yards per game on the ground. The defense for the Texas Tech team has been very impressive giving up only 16.2 points per game.
The game here will give the Texas Tech team some momentum with the fact that they are coming off of a bye week. However, what else will give the Red Raiders the momentum in the game here is the homecoming crowd. That level of energy will help the Red Raiders to carry their rested team into a massive advantage.
Arizona State vs Texas Tech Picks and Prediction
Texas Tech Red Raiders -12.5
Texas Tech possesses important advantages in defensive consistency, rest, and home-field performance. The Red Raiders are allowing only 16.2 points per game, compared with Arizona State's 27.8. Arizona State also struggled considerably against its strongest opponents, surrendering 48 points to Texas A&M and 55 to Baylor. Texas Tech's balanced offensive approach could exploit those weaknesses, particularly if rain creates difficulties for Arizona State's passing game. The main concern is that Texas Tech has covered the spread only twice in five contests, so laying nearly two touchdowns carries some risk.
Under 50.5 Points
Texas Tech's defense has allowed only 81 points in five games and limited Colorado to seven in its most recent contest. Arizona State has also experienced significant offensive difficulties against stronger opponents, scoring 20 against Texas A&M and 19 against Baylor. Rain is possible in Lubbock, potentially making passing and ball security more challenging. The total remains vulnerable if Texas Tech exploits Arizona State's defensive weaknesses for several explosive scores, but the Red Raiders' defensive form provides a reasonable foundation for considering the under.
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