Arizona State vs UCF Picks and Predictions for Saturday, November 14, 2026
Arizona State heads to Orlando on Saturday, November 14, to face UCF at Acrisure Bounce House. Kickoff is at 3:30 pm ET on ESPN2. Both teams are 5-4 overall and 3-3 in the Big 12, tied for eighth in the conference. The Sun Devils beat Colorado 20-10 last weekend, while UCF escaped Kansas with a 33-32 victory. The Knights are 3.5-point favorites at -170 on the moneyline, with the total set at 48.5. Check out our free college football picks.
Arizona State Sun Devils - Recent Form and Key Players
Arizona State handled Colorado last Saturday, holding the Buffaloes to 10 points in a 20-10 win. The Sun Devils have won three of their last five, including a 28-17 victory over Kansas State. Cutter Boley has thrown for 1,360 yards and 13 touchdowns, with five interceptions. Reed Harris remains his favorite target, catching 52 passes for 907 yards and nine scores.
Cardae Mack gives Arizona State another way to move the ball. He's rushed for 603 yards and six touchdowns, averaging 5.9 yards per carry. The Sun Devils have 19 passing touchdowns as a team, but their quarterbacks have also taken 27 sacks. Defensively, Owen Long leads with 89 tackles, while Jalen Thompson has five sacks.
Arizona State Team Stats:
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- Passing yards: 2,234
- Rushing yards: 1,230
- Passing touchdowns: 19
- Rushing touchdowns: 11
- Defensive sacks: 19
Injuries: H. Hassmann, L. Rawls, K. Anderson, W. Helton and Z. Fiaseu are out. Grayson Rigdon is questionable.
UCF Knights - Recent Form and Key Players
UCF got out of Kansas with a 33-32 win Saturday, a welcome result after Baylor had beaten the Knights 41-9 the week before. Two weeks earlier, UCF needed double overtime to beat BYU 39-31. Keyone Jenkins has thrown 11 touchdown passes against four interceptions this season. He's completed 122 of 180 attempts, with Josh Derry catching 45 passes for 571 yards.
Duke Watson has been UCF's biggest threat in the running game. His 94 carries have produced 596 yards and three touchdowns, including a 64-yard run. The Knights have scored 18 times on the ground, four of those coming from Jenkins. Tackett Curtis has 59 tackles on defense, and Demari Henderson has picked off two passes. UCF has seven interceptions through nine games.
UCF Team Stats:
- Passing yards: 1,915
- Rushing yards: 1,316
- Passing touchdowns: 15
- Rushing touchdowns: 18
- Defensive interceptions: 7
Injuries: Alonza Barnett III, Duane Thomas Jr. and Lewis Carter are out. Dylan Wade is questionable.
Arizona State vs UCF Prediction
This looks like a close Big 12 matchup. Arizona State has won three of five, but UCF has the stronger rushing attack and home advantage. Watson's big-play ability could cause problems, especially if Jenkins keeps the offense moving. The Sun Devils have enough firepower with Boley, Harris and Mack to stay close. Still, UCF's 18 rushing touchdowns give the Knights another way to finish drives. Expect a competitive game with UCF pulling ahead late.
Final Score Prediction: UCF 31-24.
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