Baylor vs Arizona State Picks and Predictions for Saturday October 3 2026
The Baylor Bears travel to Tempe for a Big 12 matchup against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Mountain America Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Baylor faces a challenging conference road assignment against an Arizona State program that has become increasingly difficult to handle at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be ready for all the college football season with our free college football picks.
Baylor Needs Offensive Consistency on the Road
Baylor’s biggest task is finding enough offensive consistency to prevent Arizona State from controlling the game. Playing in Tempe can become particularly difficult when the Sun Devils establish an early advantage and force opponents away from their preferred offensive approach.
The Bears need productive early downs and must protect the football. Giving Arizona State short fields would make an already difficult road matchup considerably harder. Baylor’s ability to sustain drives could also help keep the Sun Devils’ offense on the sideline.
Defensively, Baylor needs to hold up against Arizona State’s physical approach. If the Bears can prevent the Sun Devils from consistently controlling the line of scrimmage, they have a much better opportunity to turn this into a fourth-quarter game.
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Arizona State Looks to Control Things in Tempe
Arizona State has developed a physical identity that fits particularly well at home. The Sun Devils don’t necessarily need to turn every game into an offensive track meet because they can pressure opponents by controlling possession and forcing them to execute repeatedly.
That approach should be effective against Baylor. Arizona State can establish the running game, work from manageable down-and-distance situations and force the Bears to prove they can consistently stop drives.
The Sun Devils also have the benefit of home field in what could become a physical conference matchup. If Arizona State avoids turnovers and doesn’t surrender cheap explosive plays, the Sun Devils should be positioned to control the final stages.
Baylor vs Arizona State Picks and Prediction
Pick: Arizona State
Arizona State is the preferred side with no dependable spread currently available. The Sun Devils have home-field advantage and a physical style that should translate well against Baylor. Baylor can keep this competitive, but Arizona State has the stronger setup for controlling the game over four quarters.
Pick: Under if the Total is 54.5 or Higher
This matchup has the ingredients for a relatively methodical game. Arizona State should be comfortable controlling possession rather than creating an unnecessarily fast pace, while Baylor’s best chance is keeping the score manageable. At 54.5 or higher, the under is the stronger position.
Final Picks: Arizona State and Under 54.5 or Higher
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