California vs Stanford Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 22, 2025

By: Jake Allman Updated 11/22/2025, 01:32 AM ET
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California heads to Stanford Stadium sitting at 6-4 and 3-3 in ACC play, looking to build off a clutch 29-26 overtime win at Louisville. Stanford enters at 3-7 and 2-5 in the league after a tight 20-15 loss at North Carolina. Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. local time on ACC Network in what projects as a competitive rivalry matchup between two teams that have played plenty of close games this season. Looking for today’s college football picks? Don’t miss our expert breakdowns.

California Preview

California leans heavily on quarterback Jaron Keawe Sagapolutele, who has thrown for 2,518 yards while completing 224 of 364 passes with 13 touchdowns. He can push the ball downfield at a steady 6.9 yards per attempt, and he has multiple explosive targets. Jacob De Jesus leads the team with 699 receiving yards on 73 catches, while tight end Mason Mini adds another 382 yards and 4 touchdowns. The ground game is powered by Kendrick Raphael, who has posted 695 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns on 167 carries. He has been the most reliable finisher inside the 20 and is a major factor in controlling tempo.

The Golden Bears do have defensive players capable of swinging momentum. Linebacker Cade Uluave leads with 81 total tackles, showing strong pursuit and range. TJ Bush Jr. gives the pass rush teeth with a team-leading 5 sacks, while defensive back Hezekiah Masses is one of the conference’s most active ball hawks with 5 interceptions and 10 passes defended. This group has bent in spots during the season, but still forces turnovers at key moments, which has been the difference in several close games. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on California.

Stanford Preview

Stanford will counter with quarterback Ben Gulbranson, who has thrown for 1,813 yards with 9 touchdowns, though his 10 interceptions have stalled multiple drives. He spreads the ball among several options, but CJ Williams stands out with 659 yards and 5 touchdowns on 53 receptions. Tight end Sam Roush provides another dependable target with 458 yards. The run game is solid but not explosive, led by Micah Ford’s 493 rushing yards on 116 carries. Stanford has managed only 7 rushing touchdowns as a team, which has made red zone possessions more difficult.

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On defense, Stanford is anchored by linebacker Matt Rose, who leads the team with 83 tackles and 2 sacks. They generate pressure at times behind Clay Patterson’s 3.5 sacks, but they have not consistently produced drive-changing plays. That inconsistency is where California’s passing game could find edges throughout the night. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Stanford with the Kickr promo code.

Stanford vs California Prediction

California brings a more balanced offense, better red zone execution, and a more opportunistic secondary. Stanford can keep this close early, but the Bears’ ability to finish drives separates late. Make sure when you place your bet on California vs Stanford you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Prediction: California 31, Stanford 24Best Bet: California -3.5 

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