Florida State vs Alabama Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 19, 2026
The Florida State Seminoles visit the 10th-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 3:30 PM ET on ABC. Florida State is 1-1 overall and 0-1 in the ACC after a 27-24 loss to SMU, which followed a 34-17 victory over New Mexico State. Alabama is 2-0 overall and 1-0 in the SEC after beating Kentucky 45-17 on Saturday, one week after a 48-10 victory over East Carolina. Get ready for Saturday’s matchup with our free NCAAF picks.
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State is averaging 29 points through two games, with the Seminoles producing 371.5 yards of offense per game. The ground attack has accounted for 208 rushing yards per game and five touchdowns. Ousmane Kromah leads that group with 231 yards on 36 carries, averaging 6.4 yards per attempt with two touchdowns. Quarterback Ashton Daniels has added 101 rushing yards and two scores while completing 29 of 50 passes for 327 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Samuel Singleton Jr. leads Florida State with 94 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Florida State has allowed 22 points per game after giving up 17 to New Mexico State and 27 to SMU. The Seminoles have recorded three sacks and three interceptions through two games. Mikai Gbayor, Rylan Kennedy and Jalen Anderson each have one sack, while Ashlynd Barker and Nehemiah Chandler have interceptions. Chris Jones and Barker share the team lead with 15 total tackles. Florida State now faces an Alabama offense that has scored at least 45 points in each of its first two games.
Injuries: WR T. Gelsey (undisclosed) and RB G. Markey (undisclosed) are questionable. WR D. Carter (back) is out.
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Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama has scored 93 points through two games, averaging 46.5 per contest. The Crimson Tide has rushed for 382 yards, an average of 191 per game, with eight rushing touchdowns. Daniel Hill has 151 yards and three scores on 27 carries, while Keelon Russell has added 77 yards and a touchdown. Russell has completed 34 of 53 passes for 444 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Ryan Coleman-Williams leads the receivers with 173 yards on nine catches, including a 58-yard reception.
The Crimson Tide has allowed only 27 points through two games, holding East Carolina to 10 before limiting Kentucky to 17. Alabama has recorded seven sacks, two interceptions and three forced fumbles. Caleb Woodson has 13 tackles and two sacks, while Devan Thompkins also has two sacks and a forced fumble. Yhonzae Pierre has one sack and an interception returned 27 yards for a touchdown. Luke Metz also has an interception return for a touchdown, giving the defense two scores through two games.
Injuries: RB A. Dear (leg) and WR N. Rogers (leg) are questionable.
Florida State vs Alabama Prediction
Alabama enters with the stronger early-season profile on both sides of the ball. The Crimson Tide has scored 93 points while allowing only 27, and the running game has already produced eight touchdowns. Florida State can challenge Alabama on the ground behind Kromah and Daniels, but the Seminoles are coming off a loss to SMU and now face a defense that has produced seven sacks. Alabama’s rushing attack and defensive pressure give the Crimson Tide the advantage at home. Florida State has enough offensive production to score, but Alabama will control more of the matchup and pull away. Final Score Prediction: Alabama Crimson Tide win, 40-17.
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