Florida vs Kentucky Picks and Predictions for Saturday, November 14, 2026
Florida travels to Lexington on Saturday, November 14, to face the 13th-ranked Kentucky Wildcats at Kroger Field. Kickoff is at 6:15 pm ET on ESPN. The Gators (5-4, 3-4 SEC) sit tied for 11th in the conference after losing 23-7 to Oklahoma. Kentucky (7-2, 5-2 SEC) is tied for second despite Saturday's 34-6 defeat at Tennessee. The Wildcats are 3.5-point favorites, with the total at 53.5. Find more betting insights with our free college football picks.
Florida Gators Team Preview - Recent Form and Key Players
Florida's offense has disappeared over the last two games. The Gators managed seven points against Oklahoma after scoring just eight against Georgia. Their last victory came October 17, when they beat Texas 27-24. Aaron Philo has thrown for 1,367 yards and nine touchdowns, completing 70.5% of his passes, but he's questionable for Saturday.
Jadan Baugh has done most of the damage on the ground, rushing for 836 yards and 14 touchdowns. Dallas Wilson leads Florida's receivers with 465 yards, while Bailey Stockton has 373. The Gators have 22 rushing touchdowns this season, compared with 13 through the air. Myles Graham leads the defense with 70 tackles, and Jayden Woods has 4.5 sacks.
Florida Team Stats:
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- Passing yards: 2,127
- Rushing yards: 1,478
- Passing touchdowns: 13
- Rushing touchdowns: 22
- Defensive sacks: 24
Injuries: D. Groce and K. Jimenez are out. Vernell Brown III and Aaron Philo are questionable.
Kentucky Wildcats Team Preview - Recent Form and Key Players
Kentucky's four-game winning streak ended badly at Tennessee. The Wildcats scored only six points in a 34-6 loss, their lowest output of the season. Before that, Kentucky had beaten Vanderbilt 34-17 and Oklahoma 21-13. Quarterback Kenny Minchey has thrown for 1,979 yards and 14 touchdowns, with just two interceptions through nine games.
CJ Baxter leads the rushing attack with 541 yards and eight touchdowns, although his availability is uncertain. Jason Patterson has added 473 yards on 78 carries. Kenny Darby leads the receivers with 45 catches for 576 yards. Kentucky's defense has intercepted 12 passes, including four each from Jordan Castell and Ty Bryant. Grant Godfrey leads the team with 78 tackles.
Kentucky Team Stats:
- Passing yards: 1,979
- Rushing yards: 1,473
- Passing touchdowns: 14
- Rushing touchdowns: 16
- Defensive interceptions: 12
Injuries: L. Watkins and T. Mizell are out. Alex Afari Jr. and CJ Baxter are questionable.
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction
Florida has scored just 15 points across its last two games, a troubling sign against a Kentucky defense with 12 interceptions. Minchey has protected the football well, throwing only two picks, and the Wildcats have won four of their last five. Kentucky's poor showing at Tennessee raises questions, but Florida hasn't offered much offensively lately. Expect the Wildcats to recover at home and keep the Gators' scoring struggles going.
Final Score Prediction: Kentucky 27-17.
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- Kentucky -3.5
- Under 53.5
