Georgia Southern at Arkansas State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 25, 2025
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The Eagles enter at 3-4 (1-2 in Sun Belt) while the Red Wolves are also 3-4 (2-1 in Sun Belt). Both teams are looking to get back on track and gain ground in the Sun Belt West division. Don’t bet blind—our free college football predictions show you where the value is.
Georgia Southern Eagles Analysis
Georgia Southern has shown some offensive bursts recently — their 41-24 win over Georgia State illustrated their potential — but their defense remains a concern.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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QB JC French IV: 1,469 passing yards, 12 TDs, 6 INT.
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RB OJ Arnold: 439 rushing yards so far.
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WR Camden Brown: 598 receiving yards, 8 receiving touchdowns.
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Offensively: 226.3 passing yards/game, 138.3 rushing yards/game — ranking 71st and 93rd respectively.
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Defensive issues: Georgia Southern allows 467.1 total yards per game, 237.3 rushing yards allowed per game (among worst in FBS).
Strengths: Explosive passes from French, touchdown production from Brown, and recent momentum (three-game win streak as noted). Weaknesses: Poor rush defense and total yardage allowed.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Analysis
Arkansas State is at 3-4 overall, 2-1 in Sun Belt play — they’ve had close wins (15-14 over South Alabama) and are looking to build momentum.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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QB Jaylen Raynor: 1,660 passing yards, 9 TDs, 5 INTs; also ~ 272 rushing yards and 4 rushing TDs.
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WR Chauncy Cobb: 474 receiving yards.
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Arkansas State’s defense allows 241 passing yards per game, 207.4 rushing yards per game.
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They allow third-down conversions at a 45.2% rate (121st in FBS) and rank better in time of possession (31:14) than Georgia Southern.
Strengths: Balanced QB threat in Raynor, home‐field advantage in Jonesboro, moderately better possession. Weaknesses: Defensive consistency issues, especially against the run; offense sometimes struggles to finish drives.
Standout Players and Key Notes
Georgia Southern:
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French must protect the ball and convert in the red zone.
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Arnold must find space despite the looming run-defense weaknesses.
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Brown is a big-play receiver who must continue making contested catches.
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Defensive line/second-level must improve tackling and third-down stops.
Arkansas State:
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Raynor: dual-threat production gives flexibility; must avoid turnovers.
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Cobb: receiving reliability needed against a secondary that can be challenged.
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Defensive front must handle Georgia Southern’s passing game and limit explosive plays.
Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Prediction Reasoning
This is a fairly even matchup on paper. Arkansas State has a slight edge — home game, better time of possession, and the better QB. Georgia Southern has the firepower on offense but must overcome defensive flaws and maintain consistency.
Given all variables, welean toward Arkansas State, but expect a competitive game.
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Final Score Projection: Arkansas State 27, Georgia Southern 23
Best Picks
- Arkansas State ML
- Under 62.5 total points
