Kansas vs. Texas Tech Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 11, 2025

By: Jake Allman Updated 10/10/2025, 10:48 PM ET

The Kansas Jayhawks travel to Lubbock to face the undefeated Texas Tech Red Raiders in a key Big 12 showdown at Jones AT&T Stadium. Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM ET on FOX, and the home crowd in West Texas should be electric with the Red Raiders eyeing a 6–0 start. According to ESPN Analytics, Texas Tech holds a 74.4% chance to win, reflecting the gap in talent. Kansas, sitting at 4–2 overall and 2–1 in the Big 12, enters after a 27–20 win over UCF, while Texas Tech crushed Houston 35–11 to stay perfect. Looking for today’s college football picks? Don’t miss our expert breakdowns.

Kansas Preview

Kansas has leaned on quarterback Jalon Daniels, who’s thrown for 1,497 yards with 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions. His command of the passing game has kept Kansas in most contests, and he spreads the ball well to Emmanuel Henderson Jr., who leads the receiving corps with 488 yards and four touchdowns. The Jayhawks’ rushing game, led by Leshon Williams with 303 yards and five scores, provides balance but hasn’t consistently moved the chains against top defenses. Kansas showed toughness in close games—winning three of its last five—but lapses on both sides of the ball have limited the Jayhawks in conference play.

Texas Tech Preview

Texas Tech has looked like a complete team so far, winning every game by double digits behind quarterback Behren Morton’s effective passing attack. Morton has thrown for 1,410 yards, 12 touchdowns, and just three interceptions, running a clean, balanced offense that keeps defenses guessing. Cameron Dickey’s 330 rushing yards and six touchdowns give Tech a strong ground game, while Coy Eakin’s 341 receiving yards round out an offense that’s been sharp in red-zone conversions. Linebacker David Bailey anchors a defense that’s allowed only 11 points per game over the last three outings, and his 5.5 sacks have disrupted opponents’ backfields consistently.

Texas Tech vs Kansas Prediction

Texas Tech’s home-field advantage, depth, and superior execution make them tough to fade in this spot. Kansas has enough offensive talent to score early, but sustaining drives against this defense will be a challenge. Expect the Red Raiders’ tempo and physicality to take over in the second half as they continue unbeaten.

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Prediction: Texas Tech 38, Kansas 24

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