Memphis vs Boise State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026
The Memphis Tigers visit the Boise State Broncos on Saturday at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 6:00 PM ET and coverage on USA Network. Memphis enters at 2-0 after beating UNLV 27-21 and Arkansas State 42-24. Boise State is 0-1 after a 34-27 road loss to Oregon. Boise State is an 8.5-point favorite at -110 after opening -6.5, while Memphis is +8.5 at -110. The total has risen from 52.5 to 54.5. Get ready for Saturday’s matchup with our free NCAAF picks.
Memphis Tigers Preview
Memphis has scored 34.5 points per game during its 2-0 start, with the rushing attack providing much of the production. Jaylin Carter is averaging 140.0 rushing yards per game after gaining 280 yards on 34 carries with five touchdowns. Manny Covey adds 74.5 rushing yards per game, helping Memphis average 234.5 yards on the ground. Marcus Stokes has passed for 205.5 yards per game while completing 65.9% of his attempts, with four touchdowns and two interceptions.
Stonka Burnside leads the receiving group at 37.0 yards per game, while Hunter Tipton and Tychaun Chapman are each averaging 31.0. Memphis has also been active defensively. Elijah Kinsler has recorded 3.5 sacks, J'Mond Tapp has 2.5 and Taylor Burton has 1.5. Zach Ruffin leads the Tigers with 9.0 tackles per game, while Dylan Smith has two interceptions. Memphis has allowed 27.5 points per game through its first two contests.
Injuries: No injuries to report.
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Boise State Broncos Preview
Boise State produced 274 total offensive yards in its 34-27 loss at Oregon. Maddux Madsen completed 15 of 29 passes for 181 yards and three touchdowns without an interception, but he was sacked three times. The Broncos struggled to establish the run, gaining only 93 yards on 36 attempts. Dylan Riley led the backfield with 50 yards on 17 carries, while Sire Gaines added 39 yards on 11 attempts. Boise State did not score a rushing touchdown.
Rasean Jones was the leading receiver with four catches for 76 yards, while Gaines had 44 receiving yards and a touchdown. Matt Wagner and Cam Bates also caught touchdown passes. Defensively, Boise State recorded only one sack and did not force an interception. Bol Bol supplied the lone sack, while Travis Anderson led the Broncos with 11 tackles. Boise State will need more disruption against a Memphis offense that has found consistent production on the ground.
Injuries: No injuries to report.
Memphis vs Boise State Prediction
Boise State gets the home-field advantage, but Memphis has shown enough through two games to make an 8.5-point spread difficult to justify. Carter gives the Tigers a proven rushing threat, and Memphis has scored at least 27 points in both games. Boise State struggled to run against Oregon and relied heavily on Madsen’s three touchdown passes to stay close. The Broncos can win at home, but Memphis has the ground game and defensive pressure to keep the margin inside one possession. Final Score Prediction: Boise State Broncos win but Memphis covers, 31-27.
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Best Picks
- Memphis +8.5 (-110)
- Over 54.5 (-112)
