Mercyhurst vs New Mexico Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026
The Mercyhurst Lakers visit the New Mexico Lobos on Saturday at University Stadium in Albuquerque, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 4:00 PM ET and coverage on MW+. Mercyhurst enters at 0-2 after losses to Youngstown State 43-10 and New Mexico State 51-14. New Mexico is 1-0 after opening with a 38-7 home victory over Central Michigan. The Lakers have allowed 94 points through two games, while the Lobos enter after controlling their opener on both sides of the ball. Be a big winner on Saturday with our free NCAAF picks.
Mercyhurst Lakers Preview
Mercyhurst is producing 239.0 total yards per game, with 189.5 passing and only 49.5 rushing. Alex Gevaudan has completed 31 of 52 passes for 359 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Jameir Gamble leads the ground game at 47.5 yards per game, while Camden Lewis leads the receivers with 43.5 yards per contest and one touchdown. The Lakers have scored just 12.0 points per game.
The larger concern is a defense surrendering 47.0 points and 507.0 yards per game. Opponents are rushing for 243.5 yards and passing for 263.5 per contest while converting 61.5% of their third downs. Mercyhurst has recorded three sacks and one interception, but the Lakers have been outscored 94-24 and have allowed 13 offensive touchdowns through two games.
Injuries: No injuries to report.
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New Mexico Lobos Preview
New Mexico produced 364 total yards in its 38-7 opening victory, rushing for 205 and passing for 159. Luke Moga completed 13 of 17 passes for 116 yards and a touchdown without an interception, while Toa Fa'avae added 43 passing yards and 45 on the ground. Scottre Humphrey led the rushing attack with 64 yards and a touchdown, and James Laubstein scored twice on six carries.
Bailen George led New Mexico with four receptions for 36 yards and a touchdown. The Lobos also made an impact defensively, recording three sacks and an interception while holding Central Michigan to seven points. Mercury Swaim led the defense with seven tackles, while Drew Speech and Darren Agu each recorded a sack. Xavier Slayton supplied the interception, and Agu also forced a fumble.
Injuries: TE Tripp Walsh and WR Massiah Mingo, RB Damon Buchanan, WR Andrew Williams and WR Shawn Miller are questionable. QB D.J. Layne (elbow) and TE Jake Olsen (knee) are out.
Mercyhurst vs New Mexico Prediction
Mercyhurst has struggled to stop both the run and pass, and New Mexico's balanced opener creates a difficult matchup. The Lakers are allowing more than 500 yards per game and 6.2 yards per opposing rushing attempt. New Mexico already showed it can control a game on the ground, producing 205 rushing yards against Central Michigan. The Lobos also protected the football and held their opponent to seven points. New Mexico has a clear advantage at home and will pull away behind its rushing attack. Final Score Prediction: New Mexico Lobos win, 47-3.
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Best Picks
- New Mexico Lobos -41.5
- Under 52.5
