Miami at SMU Picks and Predictions for Saturday, November 1, 2025
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The Miami Hurricanes (6–1, 2–1 ACC) visit the SMU Mustangs (5–3, 3–1 ACC) on Saturday. Miami beat Stanford 42–7 last week, while SMU lost 13–12 at Wake Forest. Confident betting starts with the right insights—check out our college football predictions now.
Game Information for Miami (FL) vs SMU
Time: 12:00 PM EST, November 1
Where: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas
TV: FOX
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Miami Preview
Quarterback Carson Beck is completing 73% of his passes with 1,484 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. His top target is Malachi Toney (38 receptions, 510 yards, 3 TDs), with help from CJ Daniels (30 receptions, 343 yards, 5 TDs). Miami doesn’t need to push tempo to be dangerous; big plays have come from simple concepts like play-action and go routes. Protection has held up (only six team sacks allowed across all passers), and short throws to Elija Lofton and Mark Fletcher Jr. kept drives alive.
The ground game is steady with Fletcher (446 yards, 6 TDs) as the lead back and CharMar Brown adding 234 yards and 4 scores. Miami is 23-for-23 on extra points and 7-for-7 on field goals this season. On defense, Akheem Mesidor (3.5 sacks) and Rueben Bain Jr. (2 sacks, INT) supply pressure, while Bryce Fitzgerald has 3 interceptions.
SMU Preview
Quarterback Kevin Jennings has thrown for 1,948 yards with 17 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, hitting 68.4% of his attempts. He spreads the ball to Romello Brinson (502 yards, 3 TDs) and Jordan Hudson (334 yards, 3 TDs), and SMU can hit long passes as the Mustangs have four players with catches of 70+ yards this season. Tight end RJ Maryland (17 receptions for 167 yards, 2 TDs) has been a red-zone option.
The run game is led by T.J. Harden (431 yards, 5 TDs) and Chris Johnson Jr. (285 yards, 3 TDs at 8.4 per carry). Protection is the concern: SMU passers have been sacked 12 times for 129 lost yards, and that has shown up late in games, including the one-point loss at Wake. On defense, end Cameron Robertson has 5 sacks, with interior help from Jeffrey M’ba and Terry Webb (combined 6.5 sacks). Safety Isaiah Nwokobia leads with 53 tackles, and Ahmaad Moses has 2 picks.
Miami at SMU Prediction
Miami has a better passing game and has suffered fewer plays for losses. If the Hurricanes keep Beck protected and give the ball to Fletcher on early downs, they can avoid third-and-long and limit SMU’s rush. Jennings will complete a few long passes for SMU, but Miami’s pass rush and it ability to create takeaways will result in a win for the Hurricanes. Final Score Prediction: Miami Hurricanes win and cover ATS, 32–14.
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Best Picks
- Miami Hurricanes -12.5
- Under 50.5
- Malachi Toney anytime touchdown
