Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 4, 2025

By: Garrett Beaverson Updated 10/03/2025, 11:10 PM ET
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The Miami (OH) RedHawks (1–3, 0–0 MAC) head north to DeKalb, Illinois to face the Northern Illinois Huskies (1–3, 0–0 MAC) on Saturday, October 4, 2025. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET at Huskie Stadium. Both teams are in search of consistency in conference play — Miami has flashed in spurts, while NIU has struggled to find offensive rhythm. Win or lose comes down to preparation—see today’s college football predictions from the experts.

Miami (OH) Analysis

Miami enters the game with an up-and-down slate and some clear challenges in moving the ball and sustaining drives. Their margins for error are small, especially on the road.

Key Player Stats & Team Metrics

From available 2025 season data:

  • Dequan Finn (QB) leads Miami in passing with ~ 465 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions; his completion percentage is ~ 57.7 %.

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  • Kenny Tracy (RB) has rung up ~ 266 rushing yards on 48 carries, averaging ~ 5.54 yards per carry, with 1 rushing touchdown.

  • Kamryn Perry (WR) is Miami’s leading receiver: ~ 352 yards on 12 receptions, including 2 receiving touchdowns.

Northern Illinois Analysis

NIU has shown flashes but has struggled to maintain offensive balance and consistency, especially with passing. They’ll lean on home-field advantage and adjustments to try to outmaneuver Miami.

Key Player Stats & Team Metrics

  • Josh Holst (QB): ~ 376 passing yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions, ~ 59.7 % completion rate.

  • Telly Johnson Jr. (RB): ~ 252 yards on 53 carries, 1 rushing touchdown.

  • DeAree Rogers (WR): ~ 224 receiving yards on 21 catches, 1 receiving touchdown.

Standout Players and Key Notes For Miami (OH) and Northern Illinois

Miami (OH):

  • Dequan Finn must make smart decisions and limit turnovers, especially in road conditions.

  • Kenny Tracy needs to be a workhorse on the ground to help reduce pressure on Finn.

  • Kamryn Perry is a big-play threat; when targeted, he can break open a drive with a deep catch.

Northern Illinois:

  • Josh Holst must improve timing and accuracy; his interceptions count.

  • Telly Johnson Jr. needs explosive runs to help balance NIU’s offense.

  • DeAree Rogers should be a go-to receiver, especially in third down or red zone situations.

  • At home, NIU will try to pressure Miami’s passing game and force mistakes.

In terms of history, Miami and NIU are fairly even in recent matchups—the last 10 games are split 5–5.

Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois Prediction Reasoning

Putting this together, Miami has slight edges in offensive metrics, especially in passing and red zone potential, while NIU shows more weakness in conversion and passing offense. Though playing at home gives NIU some lift, Miami’s ability to manage the game, avoid turnovers, and exploit NIU’s poor third-down and red zone performance should give them the advantage.

If NIU can establish the run and force Miami into long third-down situations, they may stay in it or sneak a win. But the better overall balance and upward offensive trends favor Miami.

Final Score Projection: Miami (OH) 17, Northern Illinois 10

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