Miami vs South Florida Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 13, 2025
Miami vs South Florida Game Information
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Miami (2–0, ranked No. 5 AP) returns home to Hard Rock Stadium to host the South Florida Bulls (2–0, ranked No. 18 AP) on Saturday, September 13, 2025, at 4:30 p.m. ET, broadcast on The CW Network. Miami enters off two solid wins (27–24 over Notre Dame, 45–3 over Bethune–Cookman) and is heavily favored in this high-profile in-state showdown. USF, riding a historic hot start with upset victories over Boise State and No. 13 Florida, has emerged as a rising Group-of-Five threat. Get in on the action with our free college football picks.
South Florida Analysis
The Bulls have stunned early-season expectations with back-to-back road upsets: first shocking No. 25 Boise State 34–7, then delivering a last-second 18–16 win over Florida—their first win at the Swamp and first consecutive ranked wins in program history. Byrum Brown has spearheaded the offense with 263 passing yards and a touchdown in the Florida upset. USF ranks second in the nation among Group-of-Five teams and has climbed to No. 18 in the latest AP Poll. They operate a spread offense under third-year head coach Alex Golesh, but defensive inconsistency remains a concern — last year’s defense ranked near the bottom nationally in points allowed and aerial coverage.
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Miami Analysis
Miami enters 2–0 under coach Mario Cristobal, capped by a strong opening of the season. QB Carson Beck starred in a thrilling win over Notre Dame, and the offense followed up with a dominant performance against Bethune–Cookman. The Hurricanes coach an Air Raid offense with aggressive tempo, complemented by a defense tasked with stopping USF’s spread. With a top-5 national ranking and rising expectations, Miami looks to reaffirm its status against a high-momentum opponent.
Standout Players and Key Injuries
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South Florida Bulls: QB Byrum Brown has exceeded expectations with efficient passing and poise under pressure. Their defense remains a work in progress, especially against elite-level passing attacks.
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Miami Hurricanes: QB Carson Beck leads a high-octane offense, buoyed by depth across the skill positions and offensive line. No major injuries reported—both teams enter relatively healthy.
Prediction Reasoning
This game promises a compelling narrative: Miami’s elite speed and depth versus USF’s momentum and confidence. While USF is peaking with national attention and back-to-back ranked wins, Miami possesses the superior overall talent and scheme versatility. With a non-cover against Bethune-Cookman for Miami, and two big victories for USF, it is hard not to take South Florida to cover.
Final Score Projection: Miami 24, South Florida 17
Best Picks:
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USF ATS
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Total Under 54.5 points
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