NC State vs Duke Picks and Predictions for Saturday, September 20, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 09/14/2025, 08:48 PM ET
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NC State and Duke meet on Saturday at 4:00 p.m. ET at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham. NC State stayed unbeaten by winning at Wake Forest 34–24, while Duke dropped to 1–2 after a 34–27 loss at Tulane. The game airs on ESPN2. Follow all the college football action with our college football picks

NC State Preview

Quarterback CJ Bailey is off to a strong start, completing 63 of 89 passes (71%) for 719 yards, 5 touchdowns, and just 1 interception. The pass game is led by Wesley Grimes (173 yards, 1 TD), Noah Rogers (109 yards, 1 TD), and tight end Justin Joly (13 catches, 2 TD). On the ground, Hollywood Smothers sets the tone with 380 yards on 63 carries (6.0 per) and 3 scores.

Defensively, linebacker Sean Brown leads with 31 tackles. Isaiah Shirley owns the team’s lone interception, and edge rushers Travali Price and Sabastian Harsh help squeeze opposing pockets even without big sack totals. The focus is keeping Duke’s long passing attempts under control

Duke Preview

Quarterback Darian Mensah is: 80 for 119 for 1.36 yards, 8 TD, 2 INTs, with a long of 62. Duke’s pass game is very strong. Cooper Barkate (272 yards) is the big-play target, Andrel Anthony has 3 touchdowns, and Sahmir Hagans has three as well. The run game has not been as strong as the passing attack, with Nate Sheppard leading with 127 yards.

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The defense features an excellent pass rusher in Vincent Anthony Jr., with 5 sacks. Linebackers Jaiden Francois and Nick Morris Jr. keep the middle clogged, but big plays by opponents have hurt early this season.

NC State vs Duke Prediction

NC State will win on the road in a close game. The Wolfpack’s steadier run game and lower mistake rate on both sides of the line of scrimmage will be the difference. The NC State front seven can limit Duke’s yards and prevent the Blue Devils from making too many big plays. Final Score Prediction: NC State Wolfpack wins and covers ATS 27-21.

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Best Pick

  • NC State Wolfpack
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