New Mexico State vs Liberty Picks and Predictions for Tuesday, October 14, 2025
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The New Mexico State Aggies visit the Liberty Flames on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, Virginia. The game will air on CBSSN. New Mexico State is 3–2 overall and 1–1 in Conference USA after beating Sam Houston 37–10. Liberty sits at 2–4 and 1–1 in C-USA play, coming off a 19–8 win at UTEP. Score the winning touchdown with our college football free picks.
New Mexico State Preview
The Aggies have won three of their last five games but continue to struggle away from home. Quarterback Logan Fife has thrown for 1,272 yards with 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions while completing 57% of his passes. Receiver Donovan Faupel leads the team with 312 yards, and tight end Gavin Harris has added 234 yards and a score. The rushing game has been quiet, with Kadarius Calloway at 146 yards through five games.
On defense, safety Naeten Mitchell has 44 tackles and one interception, and defensive lineman Ezra Christensen leads the front seven with 3 sacks. The group held Sam Houston to 10 points last week and allowed fewer than 300 total yards. For New Mexico State to stay in this one, the Aggies need the defense to create turnovers and give Fife and the offense short fields to work with.
Liberty Preview
Liberty snapped a four-game losing streak last week by controlling the ball and playing solid defense at UTEP. Quarterback Ethan Vasko has 1,006 passing yards and 6 touchdowns, while adding 173 rushing yards and 3 TDs on the ground. Running back Evan Dickens has been the steady part of the offense, leading the Flames with 344 yards on 65 carries. Receiver Donte Lee Jr. is the top target with 289 yards and 3 touchdowns.
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Defensively, Liberty has 9 sacks and 5 interceptions on the season. Linebacker Joseph Carter leads with 43 tackles, and defensive back Amarian Williams has one interception. The Flames are more comfortable at home, and if they can control time of possession with their running game, they should find success against a defense that has given up big plays in losses.
New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction
Both teams are evenly matched, but Liberty’s stronger running game and home-field advantage give the Flames a slight edge in this one. Expect a close game early before the Flames pull away in the second half behind their rushing attack and defense. Final Score Prediction: Liberty Flames win and cover ATS 31–17.
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Best Picks
- Liberty Flames -10.5
- Under 47
