Sam Houston State vs New Mexico State Picks and Predictions for Thursday, October 2, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 09/28/2025, 09:12 PM ET
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The Sam Houston State Bearkats visit the New Mexico State Aggies on Thursday at Aggie Memorial Stadium, with the kickoff at 9:00 PM ET on CBSSN. Sam Houston State lost 55–0 at Texas last Saturday and is 0–1 in CUSA, while 0–4 overall. New Mexico State fell 38–20 at New Mexico a week ago this past Friday, and is 0–1 in CUSA, while 2–2 overall. Make the big play to win with our free college football previews.

Sam Houston State Preview

Sam Houston State has yet to find its offense. Hunter Watson has thrown for 396 yards with two interceptions and no touchdowns. Watson also leads the team in rushing with 140 yards and two scores, showing how much the Bearkats rely on his legs. Running back Elijah Green has added 133 receiving yards and one touchdown, but big plays have been scarce.

The defense has given up too many long drives. CJ Brown leads with 27 tackles, while Emon Allen has two interceptions. Up front, Chauncey Chidi has two sacks, but the group has given up points early and often. Opponents have built quick leads, forcing Sam Houston State to chase games from behind.

New Mexico State Preview

New Mexico State has more talent through the air. Logan Fife has 1,017 passing yards with five touchdowns and four interceptions. Donovan Faupel leads the receivers with 274 yards and one touchdown, and PJ Johnson has chipped in with 211 yards and two scores. The running game has been quiet, with Kadarius Calloway at 80 yards on 30 carries.

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The defense has been active. Naeten Mitchell leads with 34 tackles, while Jamall Thompson Jr. has two sacks and an interception. The Aggies also bring steady pressure, which could be tough for a Sam Houston State offensive line that has allowed 15 sacks. If that continues, New Mexico State should control the tempo.

Sam Houston State vs New Mexico State Prediction

New Mexico State has the passing advantage and a defense that can create problems against the run and pressure the passer. Sam Houston State has relied on its quarterback for both running and passing but has struggled to score early. The Aggies’ passing attack and on defense, the pass rush will make the difference in this one. Final Score Prediction: New Mexico State wins and covers ATS 31–17.

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