San Diego State vs Toledo Picks and Predictions for Saturday, September 26th, 2026

San Diego State vs Toledo Game Information

The San Diego State Aztecs will play the Toledo Rockets in the Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH, on Saturday at 12:00 PM. San Diego State is 1-2 this season, riding a 2-game skid after a 13-point home loss to James Madison last week. The Toledo Rockets stay home Saturday, 2-1 on the year, riding a 2-game winning streak after a narrow 1-point overtime win over Temple last week. Stay up to date with our College Football Picks.

San Diego State Preview

Jayden Denegal leads the San Diego State offense this season with 391 yards and 4 touchdowns on 36 completions. Denegal has struggled with turnovers, throwing 4 interceptions through 67 attempts. Javion Kinnard leads the Aztecs with 308 yards and 1 touchdown on 53 carries, while Lucky Sutton has added 139 yards and 3 scores on 37 attempts. Nathan Acevedo leads the receiving corps with 119 yards and 2 touchdowns on 11 catches. Kinnard has also contributed 81 yards on 6 receptions.

Toledo Preview

John Alan Richter leads Toledo this season with 877 yards and 9 touchdowns on 63 completions. Richter has thrown only 1 interception through 96 attempts. Connor Walendzak leads the Rockets with 172 yards and 4 touchdowns on 25 carries, while CJ Miller has added 111 yards and 2 scores on 26 attempts. Adjatay Dabbs leads Toledo with 223 yards and 3 touchdowns on 16 catches. Rico Bond has contributed 169 yards and 1 score on 8 receptions, while Bryson Hammer has added 153 yards on 9 catches.

San Diego State vs Toledo Pick

Toledo owns a significant advantage at quarterback, with Richter producing more than twice as many passing yards as Denegal while committing fewer turnovers. San Diego State should lean heavily on Kinnard and Sutton to control possession and keep Toledo’s offense off the field. However, the Aztecs may eventually be forced into obvious passing situations if the Rockets build an early advantage. Toledo can create explosive plays through the air and has enough balance to prevent San Diego State from focusing entirely on Richter. Take the Rockets to win and cover the short home spread, with the matchup staying under the total.

• Pick: Toledo Rockets -2.5
• Secondary: Under 49.5

Final Score Prediction: Toledo Rockets win and cover 27-17.

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