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San Diego State vs Washington State Picks and Predictions for Saturday September 6 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 09/02/2025, 02:45 PM ET
Washington State Cougars football

 

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San Diego State at Washington State Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs face the Washington State Cougars in a Week 2 college football matchup on September 6, 2025, at Gesa Field at Martin Stadium in Pullman, Washington. Kickoff is set for 10:15 p.m. EST, airing on a regional network. Washington State is a 10.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -375, and the over/under is set at 54.5 points, per BetMGM Sportsbook. This non-conference clash features two teams coming off Week 1 wins, with the Aztecs aiming to upset a Cougars squad riding high after a strong 2024 season. Elevate your betting game with expert College Football Betting Picks for top insights and winning strategies.

San Diego State Analysis

San Diego State opened the 2025 season at 1-0, dominating Stony Brook 42-0 in Week 1. The Aztecs showcased a balanced attack and a stifling defense, holding their FCS opponent to just 95 total yards. In 2024, SDSU finished 3-9 overall, but their Week 1 performance under second-year coach Sean Lewis signals a turnaround, particularly in their defensive dominance.

The Aztecs’ offense averaged 42 points and 435 yards in Week 1, with a strong ground game producing 228 yards. Quarterback Jayden Denegal, a Michigan transfer, threw for 207 yards and a touchdown, completing 13 of 25 passes. Running back Lucky Sutton led with 100 yards and two scores. Defensively, SDSU was elite, allowing 3.2 yards per play and recording four sacks, a promising sign against Washington State’s dynamic offense.

Washington State Analysis

Washington State also started 2025 at 1-0, edging FCS Idaho 13-10 in a tight Week 1 contest. The Cougars leaned on a late field goal to secure the win, showing resilience despite offensive struggles. In 2024, WSU went 8-4, including a thrilling 29-26 comeback victory over San Diego State, and their 5-2 home record makes them formidable in Pullman.

The Cougars’ offense managed 13 points and 312 yards in Week 1, with quarterback Jaxon Potter, making his first start, throwing for 156 yards and a touchdown. Running back Djouvensky Schlenbaker added 48 yards. Defensively, WSU allowed 10 points and 286 yards, with linebacker Caleb Francl leading with 11 tackles and the unit forcing two fumbles, though their pass defense (7.5 yards per attempt in 2024) remains a concern.

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Standout Players and Key Injuries

For San Diego State, running back Lucky Sutton is the offensive catalyst, rushing for 100 yards and two touchdowns in Week 1, while quarterback Jayden Denegal provides stability. Linebacker Trey White, a Bednarik Award watch list member, led with 2.5 sacks against Stony Brook. For Washington State, quarterback Jaxon Potter directs the offense, and wide receiver Kris Hutson, with 90 yards in Week 1, is a key target. Linebacker Caleb Francl anchors the defense.

San Diego State lists no major injuries, with their roster appearing healthy after Week 1. Washington State is without safety Jordan Lee (shoulder), potentially weakening their secondary against SDSU’s passing attack.

Prediction Reasoning

Washington State’s home-field advantage and 2024 win over San Diego State give them confidence, but the Aztecs’ dominant Week 1 performance suggests they’re a tougher matchup this time. SDSU’s elite defense, led by White, should pressure Potter and limit WSU’s run game, while their balanced offense exploits the Cougars’ vulnerable secondary. However, Washington State’s depth and experience at home, coupled with their knack for close games, tilt the scales. Expect a tight contest, with WSU pulling ahead late thanks to Potter’s clutch play and a raucous Gesa Field crowd. Final Score Prediction: Washington State 31, San Diego State 24.

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Over 54.5 points

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