South Alabama vs Texas State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 29, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 11/23/2025, 11:48 PM ET
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South Alabama hits the road at 3:00 PM ET to take on Texas State in San Marcos, and both teams enter with momentum after picking up wins last weekend. South Alabama sits at 4-7 and has taken three of the last four, while Texas State is 5-6 and fighting for bowl eligibility. ESPN Analytics leans heavily toward the Bobcats, but the recent stretch from the Jaguars keeps this matchup tighter than the projection suggests. Rivalry week? Bowl season? Our college football predictions keep you ahead.

South Alabama

South Alabama has relied on Bishop Davenport all season, and his production continues to move the offense. Davenport has thrown for 1,977 yards with 12 touchdowns and just 5 interceptions, and he has been efficient in the short passing game during this recent surge. Kentrel Bullock gives the Jaguars balance with 1,001 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns, and that steady ground workload helped them put up 42 on Southern Miss and 26 at ULM in back-to-back wins. South Alabama’s ability to avoid negative plays has carried them during this run, and the offense has been more consistent in finishing drives.

The Jaguars’ recent form shows exactly what they want to be: physical, ball-control oriented, and opportunistic. Wins over Southern Miss, ULM, and Georgia State came through sustained drives and timely stops, and the group has limited turnovers in all three. They will need another clean performance to handle a Texas State team that can score in bursts and prefers a quicker pace. South Alabama is the underdog for a reason, but the current trend is stronger than its overall record suggests. Betting on sports and on South Alabama is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks.

Texas State Preview

Texas State comes in off wins over ULM and Southern Miss, and Brad Jackson’s 2,769 passing yards with 16 touchdowns have powered the entire season. Jackson spreads the ball well, and Beau Sparks is the top target with 1,056 yards and 8 touchdowns. Lincoln Pare brings 931 rushing yards and 11 scores, giving Texas State multiple answers offensively. The Bobcats showed how much they can score in the last two weeks when they scored 31 and 41, and they tend to jump out early when both the run and pass game click.

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One thing that stands out about Texas State is how quickly the offense can swing a game. Even in losses to UL, James Madison, and Marshall, they found big plays and stayed competitive deep into those contests. The Bobcats have leaned heavily on Jackson’s accuracy and Sparks’ ability to catch passes in tight coverage, and they enter this matchup with the higher ceiling on offense. The recent wins have them trending in the right direction at the perfect time as they try to get to 6 wins. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Texas State with the social sportsbooks.

Texas State vs South Alabama Pick

Texas State’s balance gives them the edge at home, and Jackson’s passing production is the most reliable unit in this matchup. South Alabama has been strong lately, but the Bobcats’ ability to stretch the field vertically should eventually create separation. The Jaguars can keep pace early behind Bullock’s ground game, but Texas State’s offensive variety ultimately carries them. Getting the most out of your bets on South Alabama vs Texas State can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

Final Score: Texas State 34, South Alabama 27

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